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Wednesday, February 14, 2018

Beef packer margins have slowly eroded in recent weeks

Though still operating with solid profits, beef packer margins have slowly eroded in recent weeks. Last week packers earned $39 per head, $6 less than the previous week. Cattle feeders, however, maintained margins on cattle shipped last week at $227 per head, according to the Sterling Beef Profit Tracker.The 5-area average Choice steer price last week was $126.20, up $0.23. Costs associated with feeding cattle, however, increased last week as the price of feeder cattle calculated against the fed cattle sales were $147.09, or $3.59 per cwt. higher ($28 per head). The Beef and Pork Profit Trackers are calculated by Sterling Marketing Inc., Vale, Ore.  The cost of finishing a steer last week was calculated at $1,529 per head, which is $108 per head higher than the $1,420 a year ago. A month ago cattle feeders were earning $184 per head, while a year ago profits were calculated at $245 per head. Feeder cattle represent 74% of the cost of finishing a steer, compared to 75% last year.Farrow-to-finish pork producers saw their margins improve $2 per head to $34. Lean carcass prices traded at $73.80, an increase of $0.75 per cwt. from the previous week. A year ago pork producers earned an average of $31 per head. Pork packer margins eroded $12 per head to land in the red $0.57 per head per head.Cash prices for fed cattle are $7 per cwt. higher than the same week a year ago. Lean hog prices are about $2 per cwt. higher than last year.Sterling Marketing president John Nalivka projects cash profit margins for cow-calf producers in 2018 will average $103 per cow. That would be $55 per head less than the estimated average profit of $158 for 2017. Estimated average cow-calf margins were $438 per cow in 2015.For feedyards, Nalivka projects an average profit of $92 per head in 2018, which would be $144 less than the average of $236 per head in 2017. Nalivka expects packer margins to average about $73 per head in 2018, down from $118 in 2017.For farrow-to-finish pork producers, Nalivka projects 2018 profit margins will average $13.75 per head, compared to $20.87 in 2017. Pork packers are projected to earn $19 per head in 2018, down slightly from $25 profit per head in 2017.