John Deere Commits to Diagnostic Tools for Farmers Under Agreement with FTC

John Deere is committing to giving farmers diagnostic tools to help them and independent service technicians repair equipment. The agreement ends the matter filed by the Federal Trade Commission and five states – Arizona, Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin – in early 2025. "Producers and equipment operators demand flexible and world-class capabilities enabling the maintenance and repair of their machines,” says Denver Caldwell, vice president of aftermarket and customer support. “We are and will continue to deliver on that expectation." According to John Deere, the agreement formalizes the company’s commitment to expanding diagnostic and repair tools as recent settlements and related agreements in this space have similarly emphasized access and transparency for customers. John Deere says it will continue to invest in tools, technology, and services that give customers more ways to care for their equipment, whether they choose to do the work themselves or through a repair provider.

China Resumes Soybean Purchases as Trade Thaw Continues

China, the largest buyer of U.S. soybeans, is once again placing orders after a trade agreement ended the country’s purchasing freeze last fall, reports Mississippi Today. However, USDA data shows there’s a long way to go before China’s purchases reach pre-trade war levels. Roughly 40 percent of U.S. soybeans are exported, and in recent years, around half of exported beans went to China. China stopped purchasing U.S. soybeans in 2025 during tariff negotiations with the Trump administration. They leaned instead on soybeans from South America. Bloomberg reports that the White House said China has agreed to buy at least $17 billion of agricultural products, in addition to at least 25 million tons of soybeans each year through 2028, after the summit between President Donald Trump and his counterpart Xi Jinping. Beijing hasn’t confirmed any of those numbers. Soybean futures in Chicago have strengthened in recent days on expectations of stronger Chinese demand. Traders continue to watch for any additional policy signals before an expected meeting between Trump and Xi later this year.

USDA Delivers Final ‘Farmers First’ Program Improvements

U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins says the USDA is making significant improvements to its disaster assistance and commodity loan programs. USDA’s Farm Service Agency is enhancing the Emergency Assistance for Livestock, Honeybees, and Farm-Raised Fish Program (ELAP), Livestock Forage Disaster Program (LFP), Livestock Indemnity Program (LIP), and Tree Assistance Program (TAP). Key updates include expanded eligibility and higher payments for losses, lower drought thresholds for forage assistance, and increased predation compensation. "As we celebrate our nation's 250th birthday, we also celebrate our all-important farmers," says Rollins. “The Trump administration is committed to ensuring the economic success of farmers and ranchers who rely on a strong safety net when natural disasters impact their infrastructure or when market prices affect their profitability.” FSA is also increasing Marketing Assistance Loan rates to improve farmers’ cash flow and marketing flexibility. In addition, USDA is expanding Marketing Assistance Loans to better help cotton and sugar producers by increasing cotton storage credits, for example, and extending the sugar program through 2031. 

USCP Executive Director to Retire

United Sorghum Checkoff Program Executive Director Norma Ritz Johnson will retire at the end of the year. Johnson started the role in January 2021. Before joining the Sorghum Checkoff, she served as executive vice president of the Lubbock Chamber of Commerce and previously served as communications director for National Sorghum Producers. “After much thought and reflection, I’ve decided the end of this year is the right time for me to begin a new chapter,” Johnson says. “Serving sorghum farmers in this role has been one of the greatest privileges of my career.” Since joining the organization, Johnson has overseen initiatives that expanded market opportunities for U.S. sorghum, strengthened domestic and international partnerships, and increased consumer awareness. She also supported research investments across food, feed, and agricultural innovation. Tim Lust, CEO of the United Sorghum Checkoff Program and the National Sorghum Producers, says Johnson’s contributions have benefited both organizations and the broader sorghum industry. Lust is leading the search committee to find the next executive director.

Protein Demand Drives Land O’Lakes’ Facility Expansion

Minnesota-based Land O’Lakes, Inc. is investing in its Tulare, California, dairy processing facility to expand into high-value dairy protein by enabling production of ultra-filtered milk. The company says the move provides growth opportunities for farmer-owners and strengthens the ability to compete in a changing food landscape. “At a time when protein is reshaping how consumers eat and how the food system operates, this investment positions Land O’Lakes… to lead,” says Executive Vice President Heather Anfang. According to Land O’Lakes, protein has moved beyond a niche health category to become a defining force in how consumers evaluate food. The moment is driven by rising nutritional awareness and new health trends such as GLP-1 medications that are shifting how and what people eat. The demand for dairy protein is expected to outpace supply through the remainder of the decade. “This is about more than a single upgrade. It’s about building the future of dairy,” says Anfang.

NFU Urges USDA to Reverse Course on Packers and Stockyards Act Rollback

USDA proposed to rescind three regulations under the Packers and Stockyards Act, to which National Farmers Union President Rob Larew says he is “deeply concerned.” The three regs are related to transparency in poultry production contracts and payments, market integrity – certain unfair practices can violate the Packers and Stockyards Act even without proof, and requirements around detail and payment disclosure when requiring growers to make significant capital investments. “The Trump administration has rightly pointed to consolidation and monopoly power as a driver of higher consumer prices and tighter margins for farmers and ranchers,” Larew says. “But that acknowledgement must be reinforced by strong rules to protect farmers and increase fairness and competition in livestock and poultry markets. We hope the administration stands up for family farmers by strengthening these protections, not rolling them back.” Larew says NFU will keep fighting to ensure these protections stay in place and urges USDA to reverse course.

Friday Watch List

Markets

Friday's session will center around the 11 a.m. CDT release of the July WASDE and Crop Production reports from USDA. After the close, CFTC will release the weekly Commitments of Traders report at 2:30 p.m. CDT.

Weather

A front that has been slowly moving through the country this week continues to sit near the southern Corn Belt on Friday. After producing some areas of heavy rain on Thursday, another day of heavy rain is expected Friday. Some areas of severe thunderstorms with wind and hail will be possible here as well. Farther north, showers are clearing out and starting to make way for a significant heatwave for this weekend.

Study: U.S. Producers Pay More for Inputs Than Brazil Producers

The National Corn Growers Association says a new study confirms what many farmers have suspected for years: U.S. producers are paying far more for crop inputs than their biggest global competitor, Brazil. The report found American corn farmers paid an average of 68 percent more for seed from 2023 through 2025. Herbicide prices were often nearly double those paid by Brazilian farmers, while insecticide costs averaged 87 percent higher. Some fungicides also cost more than twice as much in the U.S. "I think there has long been a belief among U.S. farmers that we pay more for the same products compared to our international counterparts," said NCGA First Vice President Matt Frostic. "This work confirms our fears. We are paying substantially more for our inputs." NCGA says the higher costs hurt U.S. competitiveness as corn farmers face a fourth-straight year of projected financial losses. The group is calling for pricing transparency and policy reforms.

Farmer Sentiment Drops in June

Farmer sentiment weakened again in June as the Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer fell six points to 113, marking the second straight monthly decline. The Index of Current Conditions dropped to its lowest level since December 2024, while the Future Expectations Index also moved lower as producers remained cautious about the year ahead. High input costs continue to dominate producers' concerns. Forty-seven percent of farmers surveyed identified rising input expenses as their biggest challenge, while 42 percent said those costs are preventing improvements in their farm's financial position. Low crop and livestock prices ranked a distant second. Only 12 percent of farmers said their operations are in better financial shape than a year ago, while 22 percent expect conditions to improve over the next 12 months. The Farm Capital Investment Index also slipped to its lowest level since September 2024, reflecting continued caution about major purchases as producers deal with tight margins and ongoing economic uncertainty.

U.S. Ethanol Exports Bounced Back in May

U.S. ethanol exports rebounded in May, climbing 11 percent from April to 189.7 million gallons as demand strengthened across several key international markets. Canada remained the top customer, with imports rising 18 percent to a six-month high of 76.3 million gallons. Shipments to the European Union also increased 15 percent, meaning the two markets accounted for more than 60 percent of all U.S. ethanol exports during the month. Exports also surged to Nigeria, Colombia, and Vietnam, while shipments to South Korea and the United Kingdom declined. Exports to Brazil and India remained virtually nonexistent. For the year, U.S. ethanol exports have topped one billion gallons, running 11 percent ahead of the same period in 2025. Meanwhile, exports of dried distillers grains, a valuable livestock feed co-product from ethanol production, rose six percent in May to 1.08 million metric tons, adding another boost to demand for the nation's ethanol industry.

FARM Program Seeking Input on 2028 Updates

The National Dairy Farmers Assuring Responsible Management, or FARM Program, is seeking producer feedback on proposed updates to its Animal Care and Workforce Development standards. The open comment period runs through October 2, allowing dairy farmers and other industry stakeholders to weigh in before new standards are finalized for Version 2028. "Farmer involvement is critical to ensuring program standards are practical and achievable," the FARM Animal Care Task Force said in a release. "Farmers who participate in the open comment period can provide feedback on practices and protocols that help promote U.S. dairy industry efforts in demonstrating our commitment to high-quality dairy products." Proposed Animal Care updates include changes to injured tail evaluations, fitness-to-transport guidelines, calf nutrition and documentation requirements. Workforce Development revisions focus on improving clarity, reducing overly prescriptive requirements, and adding new evaluation topics. If approved, the updated FARM standards will take effect January 1, 2028.

Unions Claim USDA Overhaul Will Gut Agency

A coalition of labor unions, nonprofit organizations and local governments is asking a federal judge to block USDA's planned reorganization, arguing the changes would significantly reduce the agency's ability to serve farmers and rural communities. Reuters said the lawsuit challenges USDA's plan to relocate more than 2,500 Washington-based employees to regional offices across the country. Plaintiffs argue many workers will choose to resign rather than relocate, leading to major staffing losses. According to internal USDA planning documents, the reorganization could reduce the department's workforce by more than 23,000 employees, or roughly 23 percent. USDA has acknowledged many employees are expected to decline relocation offers. The coalition says the resulting workforce losses could disrupt farmer assistance programs, nutrition services, food safety efforts, and agricultural research. E & E News said the case, filed in federal court in San Francisco, asks a judge to temporarily halt the reorganization while the legal challenge moves forward.

USDA Announces More Farm to School Investments

USDA has announced nearly $20 million in Patrick Leahy (LAY-hee) Farm to School Grants, marking the largest single-year investment in the program's history. The funding will support 68 projects designed to connect schools with local farmers, ranchers, producers, and fishers, helping serve more locally-grown foods in school meals, summer feeding programs, and childcare settings. Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins said the investment benefits both students and producers by expanding markets for American agriculture while giving children greater access to fresh, nutritious foods. Beyond purchasing local products, the grants also support hands-on learning opportunities, including school gardens, farm field trips, taste tests, and nutrition education that help students better understand where their food comes from. The agency said the program strengthens local food systems, creates new marketing opportunities for producers, and helps build healthier communities by bringing more locally-grown foods into child nutrition programs.

Thursday Watch List

Markets

On Thursday, USDA will lead off at 7:30 a.m. CDT with their weekly Export Sales report, which will be of particular interest to the soybean market to gauge recent demand from China. In the afternoon at 2 p.m. CDT, USDA will also release their Weekly Slaughter report.

Weather

A system continues to produce pop-up showers and thunderstorms in the Southeast on Thursday. A front is pushing through the southern end of the Corn Belt and will get showers and thunderstorms going as well. A few of these could be severe. Yet one more disturbance will be producing areas of showers and thunderstorms in the Northern Plains and Canadian Prairies, also with a risk of severe weather.

USDA Accepts 2.2 Million Acres into Conservation Reserve Program

The USDA has accepted 2.2 million acres into the 2026 Conservation Reserve Program, providing farmers and landowners with conservation payments while protecting soil, water, and wildlife habitat. The program was highly competitive, with producers offering nearly 2.5 million acres for enrollment. Because CRP is capped at 27 million acres nationwide, not every offer could be accepted. More than 982,000 acres set to expire on September 30 were re-enrolled, while producers also offered 1.5 million acres of new land. Nebraska, Colorado, and South Dakota led the nation in accepted acres. "The Conservation Reserve Program continues to demonstrate the strength of voluntary, producer-led conservation across the country," said Farm Service Agency Administrator Bill Beam. "The success of the 2026 enrollment period reflects USDA's Farmers First commitment and the dedication of America's farmers and ranchers to protecting our natural resources." CRP provides annual rental payments and cost-share assistance while improving water quality, reducing erosion, and supporting wildlife habitat.

RFA Backs Tariffs on Brazilian Ethanol Imports

The Renewable Fuels Association told the U.S. International Trade Commission it supports the Trump administration's reciprocal tariff on ethanol imports from Brazil, arguing the move is needed to address what it calls unfair trade barriers against U.S. ethanol. RFA officials testified that the United States and Brazil once enjoyed a strong two-way ethanol trade, but said Brazil changed course in 2017 by imposing tariffs that sharply reduced U.S. exports. "Prior to the implementation of punitive trade barriers, Brazil and the United States enjoyed an open and efficient two-way trading relationship in ethanol," said RFA General Counsel Ed Hubbard. "Beginning in 2017, Brazil unilaterally abandoned that approach, turning to a pro-tariff policy that disadvantaged U.S. ethanol imports." According to RFA, U.S. fuel ethanol exports to Brazil fell to zero in 2023, before recovering modestly to $43 million in 2024 and $68 million in 2025, a fraction of the market Brazil represented just a few years earlier.

USCA Urges New Tariffs on Brazilian Beef Imports

The United States Cattlemen's Association is urging the U.S. Trade Representative to impose tougher tariffs on Brazilian beef, arguing imports give Brazil an unfair advantage over American cattle producers. Testifying before USTR, USCA called for an additional 25 percent tariff on all Brazilian bovine products, including beef cuts, trim, and edible offal. The group also asked officials to reject exemptions that could allow products to be relabeled and to require verified improvements in Brazil's environmental and labor practices before any tariffs are lifted. "Brazil's cattle sector enjoys an unfair advantage that no U.S. rancher can—or would ever want to—compete with," said USCA Director of Policy and Public Affairs Jenna Stanton. "We are simply asking for a market where everyone plays by the same basic rules." USCA also says illegal deforestation, forced labor, and corruption in Brazil's cattle industry create an uneven playing field for U.S. ranchers and justify stronger trade action.

FFA Conference Gives Students a Look at Agribusiness Careers

Seventy-five FFA members from across the country recently explored careers in agribusiness during the National FFA Organization's Next Gen Conference in Chicago. The five-day conference introduced high school sophomores, juniors, and seniors to career opportunities through industry tours, panel discussions, and hands-on learning. Students visited agricultural businesses and gained experience with companies including CHS, CNH Industrial, and GROWMARK, while learning how agriculture extends far beyond the farm. "Over the decades, the business of agriculture has evolved beyond the traditional farming landscape," said National FFA Program Specialist Ashli Weinrich. "Hosting our Next Gen Conference in Chicago gives our members the opportunity to explore what agriculture looks like in a non-traditional landscape." The students were selected through a competitive application process highlighting their Supervised Agricultural Experience projects. FFA says the conference helps prepare members for careers in agribusiness, marketing, management, and other sectors of the agriculture industry.

USDA Expands Freeze Relief for Apple Growers

The USDA is expanding emergency crop insurance relief for apple growers hit by a damaging late-April freeze in Maryland, Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West Virginia. The Risk Management Agency is allowing approved insurance providers to finalize certain crop insurance claims before growers finish harvesting or marketing damaged apples. The change gives producers more flexibility to decide whether fruit should be sold fresh, sent to processing, or handled another way. "At USDA, we're prioritizing American farmers to ensure they have the tools they need to be successful," said Farm Production and Conservation Undersecretary Richard Fordyce. "This flexibility puts Farmers First, allowing them to put their fruit to its best use." Growers who choose that option must provide production records after the crop is marketed. USDA says the move responds to requests from producers and packers while helping preserve crop insurance integrity and keeping more apples moving through the marketplace.

Missouri River Runoff Remains Well Below Average

Runoff into the Missouri River Basin remains well below normal, prompting the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers to shorten this year's navigation season. June runoff above Sioux City, Iowa, totaled 2.9 million acre-feet, just 52 percent of average. The Corps now forecasts 2026 runoff at 15.5 million acre-feet, or 60 percent of normal, as dry conditions and below-average mountain snowpack continue across the basin. "Mountain snowpack peaked much earlier than normal this year and completely melted by the end of June," said John Remus, chief of the Corps' Missouri River Basin Water Management Division. "Dry conditions are expected to continue in July." Because of lower water supplies, navigation flow support will end November 15, about two weeks earlier than a normal season. The Corps also says winter releases from Gavins Point Dam will likely be reduced to the minimum rate if dry conditions persist.

Wednesday Watch List

Markets

On Wednesday, the Energy Information Administration will release the weekly Petroleum Status report at 9:30 a.m. CDT, including last week's ethanol production. Otherwise, the June Federal Reserve meeting minutes will be released at 1 p.m. CDT, offering further insight into the decision to hold rates steady last month. Finally, with hostilities increasing in the Strait of Hormuz once again, traders will be closely monitoring the situation in the Middle East, with the U.S. revoking the June waiver on Iranian oil sanctions and launching strikes on Tuesday in response to Iranian attacks on oil tankers in the Strait.

Weather

A diffuse system continues to produce isolated to scattered showers in the southeastern quadrant of the country on Wednesday. Some pockets of heavy rain will be possible, but the primary action comes from a front that is slowly moving through the country this week. For Wednesday, we should see thunderstorms developing from the Nebraska-Kansas border area into Wisconsin. Some of those storms could be severe. 

Study Highlights Corn’s $142 Billion Impact on U.S. Economy

America’s corn farmers generated an estimated $142 billion in economic activity in 2025, according to a new study from the National Corn Growers Association. The report found growers produced a record 17.02 billion bushels of corn on nearly 99 million acres, with the crop valued at more than $70 billion. The study says corn production contributed $56 billion to the nation’s gross domestic product, supported more than 482,000 jobs, and generated $32 billion in wages across more than 500 industries nationwide. “Every bushel of corn produced in the United States in 2025 contributed an associated $8.34 in economic activity to the broader U.S. economy," said NCGA economist Gretchen Kuck. The report also comes at a time when many corn growers are facing a fourth straight year of tight margins from low corn prices and high input costs, highlighting agriculture’s economic value well beyond the farm gate.

Beef Grazing Initiative Aims to Boost Producer Profits and Resilience

A new $42 million initiative from the American Farmland Trust's Beef Grazing Network aims to help 700 beef producers improve profitability through better grazing practices, healthier soils and stronger marketing opportunities. Backed by $30 million from USDA's Natural Resources Conservation Service, the program will serve producers across the Mid-Atlantic, Southeast and Texas. Nearly $20 million will go directly to producers to adopt adaptive grazing systems that reduce input costs, improve forage production, strengthen drought resilience, and increase long-term returns. Participants will also receive technical assistance, soil health assessments, and training to verify sustainable grazing practices that can qualify them for premium beef markets. “Sustainable grazing systems can create value for producers, communities and the land,” said American Farmland Trust in a news release. “Through the Beef Grazing Network, we're bringing producers together to create economic resilience through opportunities for price premiums.” The initiative will also build producer-led mentoring and marketing networks.

USDA, SBA Partner to Help Farmers Challenge Federal Regulatory Actions

The USDA and Small Business Administration have signed a new agreement aimed at helping farmers, ranchers, and rural small businesses challenge what the agencies describe as unfair federal regulatory and enforcement actions. The memorandum of understanding creates a formal partnership under USDA's Farmer and Rancher Freedom Framework and includes a new USDA Lawfare Portal where producers can report regulatory disputes and seek assistance. “Producers and ranchers who feed this nation should never face the full power of government alone,” said Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins. “This partnership with the SBA creates clear pathways for redress, ensures fairness in enforcement, and demonstrates that Washington stands with the hardworking Americans who sustain our country.” USDA also says the agreement is intended to reduce regulatory burdens, improve coordination between federal agencies, and provide producers with additional legal resources when facing disputes that could threaten their farms, ranches, or businesses.

Administration Issues with USMCA

The Trump administration declined to extend the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, starting a decade-long clock to wind down the trade deal as it seeks changes to try to reshore manufacturing jobs and reduce U.S. trade deficits ‌with its North American neighbors. Reuters said the decision, announced after a six-year review of the North American free trade zone, keeps the agreement in place for another ten years, with annual reviews before it expires, unless the three countries agree to renew it with changes. "'The United States did not agree to renew the USMCA in its current form,' U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said in a statement. “As a result, the USMCA is not renewed. The United States will continue to engage with Mexico and Canada to address the agreement's shortcomings ​and our trade deficits with these countries.'" The U.S. decision was widely expected, as Greer said that more time was needed to address problems with USMCA, including persistent and growing U.S. goods trade deficits with both countries.

Texas Ag Commissioner Urges FDA to Approve Feed-Based Ivermectin for Screwworm Fight

Texas Agriculture Commissioner Sid Miller is urging the Food and Drug Administration to authorize ivermectin in medicated livestock feed as the New World Screwworm continues spreading across Texas. Miller says while the FDA recently approved injectable ivermectin for emergency use, feed-based treatment would allow producers to protect entire herds more efficiently and provide a practical way to help protect free-ranging deer and other wildlife. “Injectable ivermectin was an important first step, but it's not enough,” Miller said. “Feed-based ivermectin would allow producers to protect entire herds quickly and efficiently with far less stress on both livestock and producers.” The request asks the FDA to issue an emergency authorization, so feed manufacturers can begin producing medicated feed immediately. Miller says an "all-of-the-above" approach—including sterile flies, surveillance, inspections, injectable treatments, and feed-based ivermectin—is needed to stop the parasite before it causes even greater losses for livestock producers and threatens the nation's food supply.

CattleCon 2027 Applications Open for Contest, Scholarships

Applications are now open for several opportunities leading up to CattleCon 2027, set for Feb. 2-4 in Nashville, Tennessee. The National Cattlemen's Beef Association is accepting entries for its National Anthem Contest, Beef's Got Talent competition, student internships, and scholarships. The National Anthem Contest and Beef's Got Talent are open through October 15, giving members and aspiring performers a chance to take the stage during the annual convention. College students can also apply for internships that provide hands-on experience with convention operations and networking opportunities across the beef industry. Scholarships are available for young beef producers, students, farmers and ranchers, covering complimentary registration and discounted lodging. "CattleCon offers valuable opportunities for leadership, education, and networking," NCBA said, encouraging producers and students to apply before the October 15 deadline. Registration and housing for CattleCon 2027 open August 10.

Tuesday Watch List

Markets

On Tuesday at 7:30 a.m. CDT, the Census Bureau will release the May Trade Balance report, which USDA will then use to update their monthly export database. Otherwise, there are no other major reports scheduled so traders will continue to look to U.S. weather to inform decisions.

Weather

A stalled system will continue to produce widespread showers and thunderstorms across the South and Southeast on Tuesday. In addition, a slow-moving cold front is moving across the Northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. That area will again be the target for additional showers and thunderstorms, some of which may become severe.

Bayer Seeking Glyphosate Import Duties

Farm groups are pushing back against Bayer's request for new duties on glyphosate imports from China, warning the move could raise costs for farmers already facing tight margins. Bayer, through its Monsanto subsidiary, has asked federal officials to impose antidumping and countervailing duties on Chinese glyphosate imports, arguing the products are being sold at artificially low prices that threaten the long-term viability of domestic production. Reuters said the request drew criticism from commodity organizations, including the National Corn Growers Association. "They are taking this step purely for the benefit of the company and its shareholders, once again at the expense of the American farmer," said Jed Bower, NCGGA President. The American Soybean Association also opposed the proposal, saying import taxes could reduce competition and increase input costs. Farm groups argue higher herbicide prices would add pressure to growers already dealing with weak commodity prices and elevated production expenses.

Ag Groups React to First USMCA Review

American agricultural groups reacted to the U.S., Mexico, and Canada launching the first joint review of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement. “Getting USMCA right matters enormously to our industry, which ships more than 40 percent of all U.S. dairy exports by value to Canada and Mexico,” said U.S. Dairy Export Council Vice President Shawna Morris. Trade under the agreement is also vital for U.S. pork exports. ”While we would have liked to see immediate renewal, pork producers appreciate Ambassador Greer’s commitment to staying at the negotiating table with Mexico and Canada,” said NPPC in a statement. The Trump administration decided it would not approve renewal of the agreement in its current state. Declining the agreement started a ten-year clock to wind down the trade deal as the U.S. looks to reshore manufacturing jobs and cut down on ag trade deficits with its neighbors in North America. 

Soybean Growers Applaud New Crop Protection Tools

The American Soybean Association is applauding the Environmental Protection Agency's approval of new crop protection technologies, saying the products will give farmers more tools to manage weeds, protect yields, and support regenerative farming practices. ASA said the approvals provide soybean growers access to newer technologies needed to combat increasing weed and pest pressures while maintaining productivity. "We appreciate EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin and the agency for advancing registrations for a suite of new crop protection tools," said Scott Metzger, ASA President. "Crop protection tools must evolve alongside modernizing farm practices, making access to these innovative technologies critical to maintaining the competitive advantage of U.S. soybeans." The approvals are an important step forward, and ASA encourages EPA to continue building on this momentum by advancing additional science-based registrations that provide soybean farmers with the innovative tools they need to remain productive, competitive, and sustainable.

Ethanol Product Reaches Highest Level in Two Months

U.S. ethanol production climbed to its highest level in more than two months last week, according to the latest report from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Ethanol output averaged 1.117 million barrels per day during the week ending June 26, up from 1.09 million barrels the previous week and the strongest production rate since April. The Midwest, the nation's largest ethanol-producing region, accounted for most of the increase, with production rising to 1.053 million barrels per day. Ethanol inventories also moved higher, climbing to 24.69 million barrels. That's up from 24.59 million the week before and the largest stockpile since late May. The EIA report said an increase in production reflects continued strong demand for ethanol, an important market for U.S. corn growers, while the larger inventory numbers will be closely watched as traders gauge fuel demand heading into the heart of the summer driving season.

National FFA Hosts Inaugural Catalyst Conference

The National FFA Organization is looking to create the next generation of community leaders through its inaugural Catalyst Conference. Held June 18-20 in Indianapolis, the conference brought together students from two dozen FFA chapters for leadership development, chapter planning and hands-on service as part of FFA's Living to Serve initiative. The goal was to help members identify community needs and develop service projects that create lasting impacts long after they return home. "Living to Serve means more than completing a service project. It's about creating lasting change," said program specialist Elizabeth Sendelweck. "Students gained the skills and confidence to return home, strengthen their chapters, and create projects that make a difference in their communities." During the event, students completed 12 hours of service by packing snack packs, landscaping community spaces, creating floral arrangements for assisted living residents, assembling dog leash kits, and installing a permanent landscape garden at the National FFA Center.

NFU: Farmers Receive Just 11.8 Cents of Every Food Dollar

Family farmers receive just 11.8 cents of every dollar consumers spend on food, according to an updated National Farmers Union report released ahead of Independence Day. The report tracks the farmers’ share of popular cookout foods and highlights the growing gap between grocery store prices and what producers earn. NFU says the figures come as farm finances remain under pressure, with bankruptcies rising 46 percent from 2024 to 2025, record farm debt, and continued high input costs weighing on producers. "For 250 years, the stories of family farmers and ranchers have been woven into the fabric of this country," said NFU President Rob Larew. "But on this anniversary, family farmers deserve better." Larew also said increased consolidation throughout the food supply chain has weakened competition, leaving farmers with a shrinking share of the food dollar even as consumers continue paying higher prices at the grocery store.

Monday Watch List

Markets

Back from the long weekend, USDA will release their usual Export Inspections report at 10 a.m. CDT. In the afternoon, CFTC will release the delayed Commitments of Traders report at 2:30 a.m. CDT, updating positions as of last Tuesday. At 3 p.m. CDT, USDA will release the weekly Crop Progress report which will give a glimpse into crop conditions in the U.S. ahead of a critical month of weather for corn development.

Weather

A system is stalling out in the South-Central and Southeast edges of the U.S. on Monday morning. It will be producing widespread showers and thunderstorms throughout the day. A front is moving through the Northern Plains into the Upper Midwest, which will be producing some showers and thunderstorms as well.

USITC Upholds Antidumping Order on Mexican Tomatoes

The U.S. International Trade Commission has voted to maintain the antidumping order on fresh tomatoes imported from Mexico, rejecting a request to revoke the trade measure after finding no changed circumstances that would justify ending it. The commission's decision means the existing antidumping order will remain in effect, continuing trade protections for U.S. tomato growers who have argued that unfairly priced imports from Mexico have harmed the domestic industry. The review stemmed from a request by several Mexican producers seeking to overturn the order following the termination of the 2019 Tomato Suspension Agreement. The Florida Tomato Exchange welcomed the ruling, saying it reinforces longstanding findings that Mexican tomatoes have been sold in the United States at unfair prices and supports American growers competing in the marketplace. Mexican producers have maintained that market conditions have changed and have opposed the continuation of antidumping measures. The USITC said a public report explaining the commission's decision will be released by Aug. 17.

USDA Launches $500 Million Program to Support Independent Beef Processors

USDA announced a new initiative Tuesday that will provide up to $500 million to help small and midsize beef processors remain competitive as historically tight cattle supplies continue to pressure the industry. Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins said the new Strengthening Processing for U.S. Ranchers (SPUR) Program will offer temporary payments to eligible U.S.-owned processors to help offset rising cattle acquisition costs while encouraging continued slaughter capacity. The nation's four largest beef processors are not eligible for the program. USDA officials said the initiative is intended to preserve independent processing capacity, improve market opportunities for cattle producers and strengthen competition throughout the beef supply chain. Industry groups welcomed the announcement, saying smaller processors have faced mounting financial pressure as cattle prices reached record highs and supplies remained constrained. The department said eligible facilities will receive payments based on qualifying processing activity and program requirements to be announced in coming weeks.

Grain Markets Digest USDA Acreage and Stocks Reports

Grain markets continued adjusting following the release of USDA's closely watched Acreage and Grain Stocks reports, with traders weighing larger-than-expected supplies against ongoing weather concerns across the Corn Belt. USDA estimated U.S. farmers planted 95.3 million acres of corn this spring, unchanged from its March forecast but down 3% from last year. Soybean acreage totaled 85.4 million acres, while wheat plantings exceeded several market expectations. Analysts said the reports reinforced expectations for ample grain supplies if favorable growing conditions continue through the summer. Corn futures remained under pressure while traders shifted attention toward July weather forecasts and export demand. Market analysts noted that weather during pollination will likely become the primary price driver over the next several weeks. Export sales, ethanol demand and crop condition ratings also will remain closely watched. The quarterly Grain Stocks report provided an updated snapshot of on-farm and commercial inventories heading into the heart of the growing season.

Early Harvest Expected to Tighten Organic Stone Fruit Supplies in August

An unusually early California stone fruit harvest is expected to reduce supplies of organic peaches, nectarines and plums later this summer, creating a tighter market in August, growers say. California growers began harvesting organic stone fruit weeks ahead of normal after favorable spring weather accelerated crop development. Some peach and nectarine varieties matured nearly two weeks earlier than last year, while certain plum varieties were harvested almost a month ahead of schedule. The rapid pace has compressed the season and is expected to leave fewer volumes available during August. Despite smaller fruit sizes caused by the accelerated season, growers report excellent eating quality, with high sugar levels producing strong flavor. Retailers are being encouraged to promote available supplies through July while preparing for reduced inventories later in the summer. Industry analysts say the earlier-than-normal harvest illustrates how weather patterns continue to influence crop timing, availability and marketing strategies for California's organic tree fruit industry.

NCGA Unveils Long-Term Strategy to Expand Corn Demand

The National Corn Growers Association has released a new strategy outlining how the U.S. corn industry can build demand over the next 250 years, emphasizing the need to develop new domestic and international markets as production continues to increase. The report, released as the nation approaches its 250th anniversary, calls for expanding traditional uses of corn while investing in emerging markets such as sustainable aviation fuel, marine biofuels, bioplastics, biomaterials and other bio-based products. NCGA officials said rising yields and continued productivity gains require new sources of demand to support farm profitability. NCGA President Jed Bower said the strategy aims to ensure future generations of farmers remain competitive by encouraging innovation, reducing market barriers and strengthening export opportunities. The organization also advocates policies that support ethanol, trade, infrastructure and research. The association said growing demand will be essential to maintaining profitable corn farms and supporting rural communities as U.S. agriculture enters its next quarter millennium.

USDA Launches Pilot to Streamline Crop Acreage Reporting

USDA is launching a pilot program designed to modernize crop acreage reporting by replacing paper maps with an electronic reporting system, an effort aimed at saving producers time and reducing paperwork. The Farm Service Agency said the initiative is part of the administration's "One Farmer, One File" effort to create a more efficient and consistent reporting process for both producers and county office staff. The pilot will be implemented in selected counties across 11 states, including all counties in Maryland and North Dakota, ahead of the July 15 acreage reporting deadline for most spring-planted crops. FSA Administrator Bill Beam said the electronic interface is intended to simplify annual acreage reporting while improving operational efficiency. Producers outside the pilot counties will continue using the existing reporting process. USDA reminded producers to contact their local FSA office to schedule acreage reporting appointments and meet applicable deadlines, which may vary by county and crop.

Thursday Watch List

Markets

For the final trading day of the holiday-shortened week, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the June Employment report at 7:30 a.m. CDT. In the afternoon, USDA will release the weekly Livestock Slaughter report at 2 p.m.

Weather

A dome of hot and humid conditions continues to sit across the eastern half of the country for Thursday. Like the last few days, we'll see scattered showers and thunderstorms along the edge of it from the southwestern Plains up through the Upper Midwest and across the northern Great Lakes. An additional boost in the strength and coverage of the storms moves through the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest, which will be a focal point for extremely strong winds and some hail. Additional showers continue to spread northward from the Gulf into the southern Midwest as the humidity becomes too much for the atmosphere to handle.

House Ag Chair Proposes Sweeping Change in Ag Labor Program

House Agriculture Committee Chairman G. T. Thompson has introduced legislation aimed at expanding the H-2A agricultural guest worker program and addressing long-standing farm labor shortages. Politico said “The Securing Agriculture's Workforce Act of 2026” would broaden access to H-2A workers while allowing some undocumented agricultural employees in the U.S. to apply for temporary legal status under the program if they meet eligibility requirements. Thompson said the proposal is intended to modernize what he called a "broken" farm labor system. "With the border now secure, it is time to address these shortcomings and provide fair and legal pathways for all agriculture to obtain workers when they can’t find U.S. citizens willing to perform these tasks," Thompson said. The legislation closely aligns with priorities of dairy producers and other labor-intensive agricultural sectors that have sought year-round access to a reliable workforce. However, some provisions are expected to face opposition in Congress as lawmakers debate broader immigration policy.

Livestock Groups React to Thompson’s Proposal

Major livestock groups are applauding new legislation that would expand the H-2A guest worker program to year-round agriculture, calling it the most significant farm labor reform proposal in decades. The Securing Agriculture's Workforce Act, introduced by House Agriculture Committee Chairman G. T. Thompson, would allow dairy and pork producers to use H-2A workers by removing the program's seasonal requirement and permitting contracts of up to 350 days. The National Milk Producers Federation said the bill would finally give dairy farms access to a legal guest worker program while helping current employees transition into a workable visa system. "This will ensure we don't face a major workforce disruption as dairy farms transition to H-2A,” said NMPF President and CEO Gregg Doud. The National Pork Producers Council also endorsed the measure, saying it would provide year-round livestock operations with access to a more reliable workforce. “Agriculture needs a stronger workforce,” said NPPC President Rob Brenneman. 

U.S. Farmers Plant Less Corn, More Soybeans in 2026

U.S. farmers planted fewer corn acres and more soybeans this spring, according to the latest Acreage report from the National Agricultural Statistics Service. USDA estimates 95.3 million acres of corn were planted in 2026, down three percent from last year. Soybean acreage increased by five percent to 85.4 million acres. Wheat plantings fell six percent to 42.7 million acres, while cotton acreage rose six percent. The report is based on a June survey of more than 90,000 producers and reflects what farmers actually planted this season. USDA also reported larger grain inventories as of June 1. Corn stocks totaled 5.29 billion bushels, up 14 percent from a year ago. Soybean stocks increased by five percent to 1.06 billion bushels, while wheat stocks climbed eight percent to 920 million bushels. The updated acreage and grain stocks figures are expected to play a key role in grain market direction as traders evaluate 2026 crop production and supply prospects.

Administration Acts to Help Lower Fertilizer Costs

The Trump administration is temporarily suspending countervailing duties on certain imported phosphate fertilizers, a move USDA says could significantly reduce fertilizer costs for American farmers. According to the department, the action is expected to lower phosphate fertilizer prices by about 22 percent and save producers an estimated $1.82 billion annually. USDA says more than 100,000 farms across 97 million planted acres could benefit from increased fertilizer supplies and greater market competition. "Today's announcement will bring immediate relief to producers who rely on these critical inputs," said Brooke Rollins.  USDA said the temporary suspension is part of a broader strategy to improve fertilizer affordability and strengthen domestic supply chains. Other efforts include expanding U.S. fertilizer production, addressing anti-competitive practices in agricultural inputs, and supporting new manufacturing projects aimed at reducing dependence on foreign fertilizer sources.

Groups React to Suspension of Countervailing Phosphate Duties

President Donald Trump signed an executive order temporarily suspending countervailing duties applied to imported phosphate. “One of our farmers’ biggest expenses every year is fertilizer, and that’s only been made worse by actions of companies looking to tighten their control of the market,” said Jed Bower, President of the National Corn Growers Association. Farm Bureau President Zippy Duvall said seventy percent of farmers in a spring 2026 survey said they wouldn’t be able to afford all the fertilizer they needed for this season. “Suspending import taxes on this critical farm resource will improve fertilizer availability and help to reduce input costs at a time when farmers begin to plan for the 2027 crop, while tackling increasingly challenging financial decisions,” said Scott Metzger, president of the American Soybean Association. “This action is an important step toward improving access to competitively-priced fertilizer as we look ahead to next year,” said National Sorghum Producers Chair Amy France. 

U.S. Wheat Associates Announces New Chair

The U.S. Department of Agriculture is seeking agribusinesses interested in expanding exports to West Africa through a trade mission to Ghana (GAH-nuh) this September. USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service is accepting applications through July 3 for the September 22-25 mission. The program is designed to connect U.S. exporters with buyers from Ghana and other fast-growing markets across the region. "This mission to Ghana is a chance to introduce buyers from across West Africa to the highest-quality goods America's farmers, ranchers, and producers have to offer," said Luke J. Lindberg of the USDA. Ghana imported $175 million in U.S. agricultural products in 2025, and USDA sees strong growth potential for poultry, beef, grains, soybeans, animal feed, dairy products, and milk powders. USDA says the trade mission is intended to help create new export opportunities, boost farm income, and strengthen rural economies by connecting American producers with buyers in emerging international markets.

Wednesday Watch List

Markets

July will begin with a relatively quiet day for reports, with the weekly Petroleum Status report out at 9:30 a.m. CDT. USDA will also release a series of crop processing updates in the afternoon at 2 p.m. CDT such as the May Oilseed Crush, Grain Crush, and Cotton Consumption reports.

Weather

A heat dome of hot and humid air continues to sit and build across the eastern half of the country. Areas of showers and thunderstorms will continue on the edge of the heat from the Central Plains into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes for Wednesday. Some of those will be severe, especially across the Upper Midwest. Some additional showers will develop across the Delta and Southeast as the humidity becomes too much for the atmosphere to handle.

New York is the First State to Offer Tariff Relief to Farmers

New York has become the first state in the nation to launch a financial assistance program specifically designed to help farmers offset losses tied to trade tariffs. Governor Kathy Hochul (HOE-kull) announced that applications are now open for the state's $30 million Agricultural Resiliency Against Tariffs Program. Eligible producers can receive grants ranging from $1,000 to as much as $25,000. The program is available to qualifying dairy, livestock, specialty crop, and aquaculture operations. State officials say higher costs for imported feed, grain, and other inputs have increased financial pressure on farms affected by tariff policies. "I'm proud that our Agricultural Resiliency Against Tariffs Program will provide the much-needed relief to New York's farmers," Hochul said. Supporters say New York's action could serve as a model for other states looking to assist producers facing trade-related economic challenges. Eligible farms must meet income and production requirements to qualify for the payments.

Clean Fuels Thanks USDA for Final Regenerative Ag Rule and Calculator

Clean Fuels Alliance America is applauding USDA's finalization of a new rule designed to help farmers capture more value from regenerative agriculture practices. The Production of Regenerative Agricultural Biofuel Feedstocks rule, along with an updated USDA Feedstock Carbon Intensity Calculator, gives producers a way to measure the environmental benefits of conservation practices when supplying feedstocks for biodiesel, renewable diesel, and sustainable aviation fuel. "These rules will help farmers get more value from the expanding domestic market for biomass-based diesel," said Kurt Kovarik of Clean Fuels. "We appreciate USDA's responsiveness to industry input and simplification of the calculator." Clean Fuels says the updated guidance provides practical tools for producers while creating additional opportunities in the growing renewable fuels market. The organization also plans to continue working with USDA to expand approved feedstocks and conservation practices in future updates.

EWG Reports Sharp Rise in Livestock Antibiotic Use

Sales of medically important antibiotics for use in livestock jumped nearly 16 percent in 2024, raising new concerns among public health advocates about the growth of antibiotic-resistant bacteria. New data from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration show sales increased to nearly 7.1 million kilograms, up from 6.1 million kilograms in 2023. That's the largest year-over-year increase since 2017. According to the Environmental Working Group, sales of medically important antibiotics are now 28 percent higher than in 2017. Swine accounted for the largest share of antibiotic sales at 43 percent, followed by cattle at 41 percent. While poultry represented just four percent of total sales, antibiotic use in chickens increased 79 percent from the previous year. The Environmental Working Group said the increase cannot be explained by meat production, which rose less than one percent in 2024. The organization argues antibiotics continue to be widely used to prevent disease in healthy animals.

Overlooking a Talent Pipeline of Future Skilled Workers?

American businesses searching for skilled workers may be overlooking one of the country's largest talent pipelines: the National FFA Organization. FFA now has more than one million student members in over 9,000 chapters across all 50 states, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. While many employers report difficulty filling entry-level positions, FFA leaders say students are already gaining hands-on work experience, leadership training, and technical skills before graduating from high school. Through classroom instruction, supervised work-based learning, and leadership development, FFA members prepare for more than 350 careers, including agriculture, food science, veterinary medicine, banking, business, education, and government. A major part of that preparation comes through Supervised Agricultural Experiences, which give students real-world job experience under the guidance of agriculture teachers. FFA says that means many graduates enter the workforce with years of practical experience already on their resumes, making the organization a valuable and often overlooked source of future employees.

NASDA and USDA MOU Celebrates Family Farms

The USDA and the National Association of State Departments of Agriculture have launched the American Farm Legacy 250 Program, a new national effort recognizing multi-generational farm families that have helped shape American agriculture. The program will honor farms and ranches that have remained in continuous family operation for 250 years while also building on existing state Century Farm and Heritage Farm programs to celebrate agricultural stewardship across generations. "America's farmers and ranchers work tirelessly to feed, clothe, and fuel their communities and the world," said Ted McKinney, NASDA CEO. "This partnership recognizes families who have stewarded their land across generations while inspiring the next generation of agricultural leaders." USDA will oversee the national program, while NASDA will work with state agriculture departments to identify qualifying farms and coordinate recognition efforts. The first farms meeting the 250-year milestone were recognized this week as part of the nation's celebration leading up to America's 250th anniversary.

U.S. Wheat Associates Announces New Chair

A Kansas wheat producer is taking over leadership of the U.S. Wheat Associates. Gary Millershaski of Kansas was installed as chairman of the organization's Board of Directors during its summer meeting in Fargo, North Dakota. He succeeds North Dakota wheat farmer Jim Pellman and will serve a one-year term. "Gary has been an active board member and a valuable voice on the officer team," said Mike Spier, USW President and CEO. "He has visited many global markets and established relationships with wheat buyers around the world." Millershaski and his family raise hard red winter wheat, hard white wheat, corn, milo, and run a cow-calf herd in southwest Kansas. U.S. Wheat Associates works to build export demand for American wheat, helping connect U.S. producers with customers around the world and expanding overseas markets for the nation's wheat crop.

Tuesday Watch List

Markets

Tuesday's session will be centered around two major reports from USDA: the June Acreage and quarterly Grain Stocks reports, both out at 11 a.m. CDT. The reports will offer grain supply clues heading into the final two months of the 2025-26 corn and soybean crop year.

Weather

Hot and humid conditions continue to build across the eastern half of the country on Tuesday. A cluster of storms is found in the Upper Midwest, and additional areas of showers and thunderstorms will build on the edge of that heat from the Central Plains to the northern Great Lakes throughout the day. With all the hot and humid conditions to fuel thunderstorms, severe weather will be a concern again Tuesday, and really through the end of the week.

Grain Markets Brace for Key USDA Reports

Grain traders are positioning for one of the most closely watched government report releases of the year as USDA prepares to issue its Planted Acreage and Quarterly Grain Stocks reports on Tuesday. Market analysts say the reports could significantly influence corn, soybean and wheat prices by providing updated estimates of planted acreage and remaining grain supplies. A recent survey by Kluis Commodity Advisors and Successful Farming suggested farmers planted more corn acres and fewer soybean acres than USDA projected in March, potentially affecting market expectations. Futures traded cautiously Friday as investors balanced favorable crop weather with anticipation ahead of the June 30 reports. Analysts say the reports traditionally create heightened market volatility because they often reshape production and supply expectations entering the critical summer growing season. Weather forecasts and export demand also remain key factors influencing grain prices.

USDA Unveils Regenerative Feedstock Rule for Biofuels

USDA has finalized a new rule designed to expand market opportunities for farmers producing crops used in low-carbon biofuels. Announced alongside President Donald Trump's executive order promoting regenerative agriculture, the Regenerative Feedstock Rule establishes voluntary standards connecting regenerative farming practices with biofuel markets for corn, soybeans, sorghum and spring canola. USDA officials said the framework is intended to help producers qualify for emerging clean fuel markets while supporting domestic energy production. According to Ethanol Producer Magazine, the rule could create additional value for farmers supplying feedstocks eligible for the federal 45Z Clean Fuel Production Credit by providing a standardized pathway for documenting qualifying production practices. Agricultural organizations are reviewing the final rule to determine how growers and biofuel producers may participate as implementation guidance becomes available.

Trade, Biofuel Policy Continue to Drive Grain Markets

Trade developments, biofuel policy and upcoming government reports remain the primary forces influencing U.S. grain markets as producers head into the heart of the growing season. Market analysts say uncertainty surrounding export demand, renewable fuel policy and crop production estimates continue to create price volatility for corn and soybeans. USDA's new Regenerative Feedstock Rule and President Donald Trump's executive order supporting regenerative agriculture have renewed attention on potential long-term demand for crops used in ethanol and biodiesel production. At the same time, traders are awaiting USDA's June 30 Planted Acreage and Quarterly Grain Stocks reports, which historically have produced significant market swings by updating estimates for crop acreage and available supplies. Pro Farmer reported Friday that grain futures remained cautious as investors weighed favorable growing conditions against uncertainty over the upcoming data release. Analysts say weather, exports and federal energy policy will likely continue driving grain prices through the summer.

US Hog Inventory Edges Lower; Productivity Ticks Up

The U.S. hog and pig inventory totaled 73.7 million head as of June 1, down slightly from a year earlier and from March, USDA said Thursday in its quarterly report. Market hogs accounted for 67.8 million head, while 5.88 million were kept for breeding, according to USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service. Despite the smaller herd, production indicators improved. Producers weaned 33.5 million pigs from March through May, slightly above last year, with an average of 11.87 pigs per litter. Looking ahead, producers intend to farrow 2.90 million sows from June through August and 2.89 million from September through November. Iowa remained the top hog-producing state with 24.7 million head, followed by Minnesota and North Carolina. The report reflects modest herd contraction alongside continued gains in efficiency.

Survey Finds Rural Americans Most Concerned About AI Data Centers

Rural Americans are more concerned than their urban and suburban counterparts about the effects of artificial intelligence data centers, particularly rising electricity costs and the loss of farmland, according to new research from the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign and Purdue University. The study, published in farmdoc daily, found electricity costs ranked as the top concern among respondents, with rural residents expressing the highest levels of worry. More than half of rural participants said they were "very worried" that expanding data centers would increase power bills. Concerns over farmland conversion and water use also ranked above the survey midpoint. Researchers said AI data centers increasingly require large tracts of land, substantial electricity and significant water resources, making rural communities attractive locations. While such projects can generate tax revenue and temporary construction jobs, long-term employment benefits are often limited, according to research from the Brookings Institution.

Bipartisan Bill Seeks to Strengthen New World Screwworm Response

A bipartisan group of lawmakers has introduced legislation aimed at helping ranchers and livestock officials better detect and respond to the growing threat of New World screwworm following confirmed cases in New Mexico and Texas. U.S. Rep. Gabe Vasquez of New Mexico announced the Protecting America's Herds Act last week. The bill would authorize Cooperative Extension agents to train producers and agricultural personnel to identify, treat, prevent and report New World screwworm infestations. It would also allow extension personnel to serve as livestock inspectors and support the hiring and training of additional inspectors. The legislation also directs closer coordination among the USDA's Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service, veterinarians, state animal health officials and Tribal agricultural programs. Funding would prioritize states and Tribal communities considered at greatest risk for the parasite's introduction or spread as federal officials continue efforts to contain the livestock pest.

Monday Watch List

Markets

USDA will release their weekly Export Inspections report at 10 a.m. CDT on Monday, and after the close update crop conditions in the weekly Crop Progress report at 3 p.m. CDT. Otherwise, traders will be watching U.S. weather forecasts as June comes to a close.

Weather

A large heat dome is developing across the eastern half of the country on Monday. High heat and humidity will make it miserable to be outside. Thunderstorms are forming in the Dakotas and will continue along the edge of the heat across the Upper Midwest Monday as well. Some of those storms could be severe. 

Supreme Court says Roundup Cases Limited by Federal Law

The Supreme Court ruled that federal pesticide law limits certain state-based lawsuits alleging pesticide makers failed to warn users about health risks not recognized by federal regulators. The Hill said the Court sided with Monsanto in a case involving Roundup herbicide. The lawsuit was brought by Missouri resident John Durnell, who claimed the company failed to warn consumers about a cancer risk associated with glyphosate and was awarded $1.25 million under state law. The Court found that the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act, known as FIFRA, prevents states from imposing labeling requirements that differ from those approved by the EPA. The case centered on whether plaintiffs can sue pesticide companies in state court if they don’t warn of health effects that go beyond those formally recognized by the EPA. The ruling is expected to have significant implications for future pesticide litigation and could provide greater legal certainty for manufacturers operating under federally approved labeling standards.

Soybean Growers Applaud Supreme Court Decision on Glyphosate

The American Soybean Association is praising a U.S. Supreme Court ruling that federal pesticide labeling requirements take precedence over state failure-to-warn claims. The decision in Durnell v. Monsanto found that pesticide labels approved under federal law cannot be overridden by differing state requirements. Soybean growers say the ruling provides greater certainty for farmers who rely on crop protection products. "Farmers depend on clear, consistent labeling and a uniform regulatory framework to use pesticides safely and responsibly," ASA said in a statement. The organization added that the decision reaffirms the role of science-based regulation in pesticide oversight. ASA noted that the EPA and regulatory agencies around the world have repeatedly concluded that glyphosate does not pose a cancer risk when used as directed. The soybean group argued that conflicting state regulations create confusion and could limit access to important crop protection tools. 

Trump Administration Pushes for Year-Round E15 in Supplemental Request

The Renewable Fuels Association is applauding President Trump's latest call for Congress to approve permanent, year-round sales of E15 gasoline nationwide. In a supplemental funding request sent to Congress, the administration urged lawmakers to codify year-round E15 sales, calling it an urgent policy change that would expand consumer choice, support domestic fuel production, and add flexibility to fuel markets. "President Trump has clearly and consistently supported the year-round availability of E15," said Geoff Cooper. "He recognizes that E15 helps Americans save money with each fill-up while also strengthening the farm economy and bolstering U.S. energy security." According to the RFA, E15 has typically sold for 10 to 40 cents less per gallon than regular gasoline, with average savings of about 25 cents per gallon at the nation’s pumps in recent years. The group says expanded E15 access would also create additional demand for corn-based ethanol produced by American farmers.

Hot Weather Coming for the Fourth of July

A major heat dome is expected to build across the central and eastern U.S. next week, bringing widespread 90-degree temperatures and potentially dangerous heat just ahead of the Independence Day holiday. AccuWeather says the system will stretch from Texas to Pennsylvania and from Florida to Minnesota. Some areas could see temperatures approach 100 degrees, while it will feel like over 100 degrees in many locations. "A heat dome is a sprawling area of high pressure that creates hot and humid conditions for days or weeks at a time," said meteorologist Dan Pydynowski. The prolonged heat could add stress to crops, livestock, and farmworkers across parts of the Corn Belt and Plains. Overnight temperatures are also expected to remain unusually warm, limiting relief from daytime heat. Forecasters are also watching for the development of powerful thunderstorm complexes and possible derechos (deh-RAY-choes) along the edge of the heat dome.

NASDA Endorses Supply Chain Resiliency Act

The National Association of State Departments of Agriculture is supporting legislation designed to strengthen America's food supply chain and create new market opportunities for farmers and ranchers. The American Food Supply Chain Resiliency Act would make permanent USDA investments in food processing, storage, transportation, and distribution infrastructure—areas often referred to as the "middle" of the supply chain. Supporters say expanding that capacity could help producers reach more buyers, reduce bottlenecks, and keep more food dollars in rural communities. The bill would also establish Regional Food Systems Hubs to provide technical assistance, market development support, and better coordination among states and food businesses. "Federal investments play a key role in strengthening our nation's food systems by connecting farmers, businesses, and communities with the resources they need to succeed," said Ted McKinney. The legislation would improve domestic market access, increase procurement opportunities, and help build a more resilient food system while supporting long-term farm profitability and rural economic growth.

USDA Makes Operational and Conservation Funds Available

The USDA is making up to $310 million available through the Regional Conservation Partnership Program, or RCPP, to help farmers, ranchers, and forest landowners adopt conservation practices and strengthen their operations. The Natural Resources Conservation Service is accepting project proposals through Aug. 24. The program supports locally led solutions to natural resource challenges while helping producers improve productivity and long-term sustainability. "This significant investment through the Regional Conservation Partnership Program will further enable us to leverage our partnerships as force multipliers in supporting America's farmers," said NRCS Chief Colton L. Buckley. USDA says recent changes have streamlined the program and increased flexibility for conservation partners. Officials note that 75 percent of RCPP funding now goes directly to farmers or helps cover the cost of implementing conservation practices. It’s part of a broader expansion of federal conservation funding, which supporters say will help producers protect soil, water, and working lands while keeping farms productive and economically viable.

Friday Watch List

Markets

On Friday, there are no major reports scheduled for release during trading hours. After the close, CFTC will release the weekly Commitments of Traders report at 2:30 p.m. CDT, updating positions as of Tuesday, June 23.

Weather

A system is moving along a front draped across the Ohio Valley on Friday. Batches and pockets of showers and thunderstorms will occur in the region, leading to some additional areas of severe weather and heavy rain. Flooding continues to be an issue here. Another system is moving into the Pacific Northwest and will be the main player in a pattern change this weekend as additional showers and thunderstorms move into the High Plains again later Friday.

Highlights of Senate Farm Bill Discussion Text

Calling it the “Agricultural Act of 2026,” Senate Ag Committee Chair John Boozman (BOZE-man) released his farm bill discussion text this week. Boozman said it’s “built for farmers, ranchers, and producers.” It improves existing commodity, dairy, standing disaster, and crop insurance programs, while expanding opportunities tailored to the unique needs of specialty crop producers. The legislation also streamlines and strengthens conservation programs and bolsters Buy American requirements across nutrition programs. There is support for rural communities, including improved access to USDA Rural Development programs and private capital. The bill is also “built for the future” as it modernizes farm loan programs, more than doubles the funding for the Market Access and Foreign Market Development programs, and defends the security of U.S. agricultural land from foreign ownership. It also enhances the Farm and Ranch Stress Assistance Network to expand access to critical mental health care in rural communities. 

Reaction to Senate Farm Bill Proposal

U.S. agricultural groups reacted to the release of Senate Ag Committee Chair John Boozman’s farm bill proposal. National Milk Producers Federation CEO Gregg Doud applauded the bill authorizing mandatory cost and yield surveys to ensure future changes to the Federal Milk Marketing Orders reflect the most current market conditions. “Dairy farmers look forward to working with Senators to get this legislation passed and into conference with the House,” Doud said. Farm Bureau President Zippy Duvall said a few important priorities were left out, including more economic aid for farmers, protecting interstate commerce from a patchwork of state laws, and approving the sale of year-round E15 fuel. The National Farmers Union applauded the release but also said it could go further. “We need a true safety net that moves away from ad hoc assistance, keeps pace with rising production costs, and delivers real stability in the marketplace,” said NFU President Rob Larew.

NPPC Wants Prop 12 Fix Back in the Senate Farm Bill Discussion

America's pork producers are renewing their push for a fix to California's Proposition 12 as work continues on a new farm bill in the Senate. The National Pork Producers Council recently joined a coalition of agricultural groups urging Senate Agriculture Committee leaders to address what they call a growing patchwork of state livestock production laws. However, a discussion draft released by Senate Agriculture Committee Chairman John Boozman did not include language addressing Proposition 12. "America's pork producers will continue to advocate for a Prop. 12 fix in the formal farm bill like our livelihood depends on it—because it does," said Rob Brenneman, NPPC President. The pork group argues California's law creates uncertainty for producers nationwide and could encourage additional state-by-state regulations affecting livestock production. Despite disappointment over the omission, NPPC praised the draft's inclusion of funding for the U.S. Swine Health Improvement Plan and pledged to push for further improvements.

RMI Below Growth Neutral for Fourth Consecutive Month

Economic conditions across rural America remained under pressure in May as weak commodity prices and high input costs continued to strain farm finances, according to the latest Rural Mainstreet Index from Creighton University. The overall index fell to 45.7, marking the fourth consecutive month below growth-neutral levels. Any reading below 50 signals economic contraction. "Weakness in farm commodity prices and elevated agriculture input costs are spilling over into the rural business community," said Ernie Goss of Creighton. Nearly 48 percent of rural bankers reported farmers' financial conditions worsened compared to a year ago. Farm equipment sales remained particularly weak, with that index falling to 18.2, the 33rd straight month below growth neutral. Bankers also cited concerns about higher fuel and production costs squeezing operating margins. Despite the challenges, first-quarter agricultural exports from the 10-state survey region increased 7.5 percent from a year earlier, while exports to China jumped nearly 77 percent.

Fourth of July Cookout Cost Reflects Rising Inflation

A Fourth of July cookout will cost slightly more this year, according to the latest marketbasket survey from the American Farm Bureau Federation. A holiday cookout for 10 people will cost an average of $73.82, up nearly $3, or four percent, from last year. That’s about $7.38 per person and marks the highest nominal cost since the survey began in 2016. "Families are dealing with higher prices for many expenses, including groceries," said economist Faith Parum. "As you look at the purchasing power of the dollar, however, it has remained relatively stable when it comes to food." Higher ground beef prices were a major factor, rising 5.5 percent as cattle producers continue rebuilding herds following years of drought. Strawberry prices also climbed due to frost damage and higher labor costs. One bright spot for consumers was potato salad, down nearly 18 percent from last year, thanks to lower egg prices and strong potato supplies. 

Beekeepers Have a New Tool to Care for their Colonies

Beekeepers have a new resource to help protect honey bee colonies from one of their biggest threats. The Honey Bee Health Coalition has released the ninth edition of its Tools for Varroa (vah-ROW-ah) Management Guide. The updated publication provides the latest information on monitoring and controlling varroa mites, parasites that spread disease and are one of the leading causes of honey bee colony losses. "The Varroa Management Guide, updated ninth edition, will be your most valuable tool to include in the varroa management toolbox," said Dewey Caron, principal author. "It is dedicated to helping improve overwintering success by providing information to flatten the varroa growth curve and reduce bee colony viral epidemics." The guide was developed by a team of beekeepers, researchers, extension specialists, and regulators, and it reflects the latest science on varroa biology and treatment options. The coalition hopes the guide will help improve honey bee health, honey production, and pollination services.

Thursday Watch List

Markets

After a quiet few days, the schedule picks up on Thursday for reports beginning with USDA's weekly Export Sales data at 7:30 a.m. CDT. Also at that same time, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will release both the third revision of first quarter 2026 U.S. GDP as well as the May Personal Consumption Expenditure report. Finally, after the close at 2 p.m. CDT, USDA will release the quarterly Hogs and Pigs inventory report as well as the monthly Slaughter and Cold Storage reports.

Weather

A system is moving out of the Midwest, but its front will continue to produce showers and thunderstorms near the Ohio River, especially Thursday afternoon and evening. A system is moving into the Central Plains Thursday morning and is already producing widespread areas of showers and thunderstorms. That will continue to build throughout the day. Some areas of severe weather will occur with it as well.

Boozman Releases Farm Bill Text

A new Senate farm bill proposal could face an uphill battle after reports indicated it does not include a delay in planned changes to Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, or SNAP, funding. Politico said Senate Agriculture Committee Chairman John Boozman previewed the bill Monday ahead of its public release. Democrats have warned they will oppose a farm bill that fails to postpone a provision requiring some states to help cover SNAP benefit costs. The disagreement could complicate efforts to advance a new farm bill, as Senate leaders will likely need bipartisan support to reach the 60 votes required for passage. Despite the concerns, a Republican spokesperson for the Senate Agriculture Committee said Boozman has developed a discussion draft that can earn the bipartisan backing needed to move through the Senate. "The chairman will continue discussions with senators and industry representatives while finalizing the bill text," the spokesperson said.

Iran Could Buy U.S. Ag Products with Frozen Funds

American farmers could gain a new export market if ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran lead to an agreement allowing unfrozen Iranian assets to be used for food purchases. Speaking in Switzerland, Vice President J.D. Vance said the Trump administration wants any released Iranian funds directed toward purchases of U.S. agricultural products, including corn, soybeans, and wheat. "If Iranian assets are ever unfrozen, they are going to make American farmers richer and help feed the Iranian people," Vance said. President Donald Trump also voiced support for the proposal, saying Iran would buy food "exclusively through the U.S." using funds released under a memorandum of understanding between the two countries. Iran reportedly has billions of dollars in frozen assets held abroad, including funds in Qatar. If an agreement is finalized, U.S. grain producers could see additional demand from a market that has largely been absent in recent years, providing another potential outlet for American crops.

Applications Open for Ghana Trade Mission

The USDA is accepting applications for its Agribusiness Trade Mission to Ghana, scheduled for Sept. 22-25. The mission is designed to connect American agricultural exporters with buyers from Ghana and other West African countries. Applications are due July 1. "Expanding our export footprint here brings America's bounty to new markets and brings new sales back to rural America," said Luke J. Lindberg, USDA Undersecretary for Trade and Foreign Agricultural Affairs. USDA says Ghana represents a growing market for U.S. farm products, with agricultural exports reaching $175 million in 2025. Poultry and prepared foods currently account for much of that trade, but officials see opportunities for growth in beef, dairy products, grains, soybeans, animal feed, seafood, and forestry products. During the mission, U.S. companies will participate in one-on-one meetings with qualified buyers from across West Africa. USDA says the effort is aimed at creating new export opportunities that support farm income, rural jobs, and long-term growth.

Clean Fuels: EPA Building Domestic Markets for Farmers

According to Clean Fuels Alliance America, the Environmental Protection Agency's finalized Renewable Fuel Standard volumes for 2026 and 2027 will provide an important economic boost for American farmers by expanding domestic demand for biofuel feedstocks. The group says EPA's analysis found U.S. farmers are fully capable of supplying the crops and oils needed to meet higher renewable fuel targets. Clean Fuels argues the increased volumes come at a critical time as farmers face rising input costs and export challenges, including billions of dollars in lost agricultural sales to China. "EPA is purposefully building a domestic market for U.S. farmers," Clean Fuels said in its outlook, noting the agency expects biomass-based diesel production from soybean oil to nearly double by 2027. The organization says stronger demand for soybean oil, canola oil, and other feedstocks will create new marketing opportunities while reducing agriculture's reliance on export markets. The expanded targets will strengthen farm income and support economic growth.

Wheat Export Inspections Rise During the Week

Wheat export inspections improved last week, while corn and soybean assessments moved lower, according to the latest report from the USDA. USDA said 393,150 metric tons of wheat were inspected for overseas delivery, up from 358,098 tons the previous week and ahead of the same week a year ago. Corn inspections totaled 1.45 million metric tons, down from 1.65 million a week earlier and slightly below year-ago levels. Soybean inspections fell sharply to 241,045 metric tons from more than 533,000 tons the week before, though they remained above last year's pace. Despite the weekly decline, corn exports continue to run well ahead of last year. Since the marketing year began Sept. 1, USDA has inspected 67.1 million metric tons of corn for export, up from 53.6 million tons a year ago. Soybean inspections for the marketing year remain behind last year's pace at 36.8 million metric tons.

Dairy Checkoff New Product Competition Announces Winner

A team of food science students from Utah State University has captured first place in Dairy Management Inc.'s New Product Competition with a high-protein personal pizza featuring a crust made primarily from dairy ingredients. The winning product, called Athena's Slice, was recognized during the annual meeting of the American Dairy Science Association in Milwaukee. Designed to support bone health, muscle health, and weight management, the pizza features a crust made with cottage cheese, mozzarella, Parmesan, and nonfat dry milk. The finished product delivers 30 grams of protein per serving. Team members received Dairy Management Inc.'s Platinum Dairy Innovator Award and a $10,000 prize. "Protein has been one of the biggest trends for years, so that was important to us," said the students. "Those concepts came together, and that's really how Athena's Slice was born." Judges praised the product for showcasing dairy's versatility while meeting growing consumer demand for protein-rich foods.

Wednesday Watch List

Markets

Wednesday is another relatively quiet day for reports. The EIA's weekly Petroleum Status report is out at 9:30 a.m. CDT, which will include last week's ethanol production and stocks.

Weather

A system is moving into the Midwest with scattered showers for Wednesday. A front has been stalled from Colorado down to the Gulf Coast the last few days and continues to produce areas of showers and thunderstorms. Some of those could be severe, especially in the High Plains. Continued rainfall in similar areas along the front could produce some areas of flooding.

Costs Going Higher in 2027

USDA's latest Commodity Cost and Returns report shows production expenses are expected to climb for every major crop in 2026 as global energy and fertilizer market disruptions continue to ripple through agriculture. The report follows months of volatility tied to conflict involving Iran and concerns about shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Higher fertilizer costs are adding pressure to already tight farm margins. The findings mirror a recent American Farm Bureau Federation survey in which 70 percent of farmers said they couldn't afford all the fertilizer needed for the 2026 crop year. The outlook for 2027 offers little relief. USDA projects production costs will reach record highs for most major crops, driven by rising seed, chemical, labor, machinery, repair, and cash rent expenses. Rice is projected to have the highest production cost at $1,427 per acre, followed by peanuts at $1,248, cotton at $1,001, and corn at $952.

CoBank: Dairy Heifer Inventories Will Rebound in 2027

The U.S. dairy herd has grown to its largest size in three decades, but the supply of replacement heifers is at its lowest level since 1978. That’s according to a new report from CoBank. It says dairy producers are increasingly breeding cows to produce beef-on-dairy calves rather than future milk cows, taking advantage of record-high cattle prices and strong beef demand. As a result, replacement heifer supplies are expected to tighten further in 2026 before beginning a recovery in 2027. Heifer prices have surged above $3,000 per head, prompting many dairies to keep older cows in production longer than usual. "On most dairy farms, net margins are currently being driven by the beef check, not the milk check," said Corey Geiger, CoBank’s Lead Dairy Economist. "That shift is reshaping the U.S. dairy herd, most notably through the decline in replacement heifers."

Dairy Cooperative Applauds H-2A Guidance

Dairy farmers may soon have a new option for hiring workers after the Trump administration announced guidance allowing dairy operations to access the H-2A visa program if they can demonstrate a temporary or seasonal labor need. Previously, most dairy farms were excluded from H-2A because milk production requires year-round labor. Under the new guidance, applications will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis using the same standards applied to other H-2A employers. Edge Dairy Farmer Cooperative in Green Bay, Wisconsin, welcomed the change, calling it an important step toward addressing long-standing workforce shortages on dairy farms. "As a dairy farmer, this move is an encouraging milestone to have access to a visa program and address our labor force needs," said Heidi Fischer, the president of Edge Cooperative.  Fischer said reliable labor is critical to food production and urged Congress to continue pursuing permanent workforce reforms for the dairy industry.

Fertilizer Prices Will Take Time to Recover After Strait Opening

The fertilizer industry is welcoming the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz following a new agreement between the United States and Iran, calling it a positive development for farmers and global agricultural supply chains. The Fertilizer Institute says the waterway is a critical route for fertilizer and energy shipments. Roughly 40 percent of the world's urea fertilizer and about half of global sulfur supplies move through the strait each year. "Farmers in the U.S. and around the world need this vital shipping lane open and operational," said Corey Rosenbusch, president and CEO of the Fertilizer Institute. Despite the reopening, industry leaders warn supply chains won't return to normal overnight. Tankers carrying oil are expected to receive priority, and damage assessments continue at production facilities throughout the region. TFI economist Veronica Nigh (NYE) said fertilizer markets may take months to fully recover from the disruption.

Strong El Niño Could Mean Drier Weather Ahead

An exceptionally strong El Niño, expected to peak later this year, could set the stage for drought conditions across the Plains lasting well into the end of the decade, according to AccuWeather. Climate experts say there is a 70 percent chance the event reaches "Super El Niño" status. While El Niño often brings increased rainfall to the southern United States, history shows that major events can be followed by several years of drier-than-normal weather across the Plains. "After El Niño ends, the following two to three years can end up being significantly drier in parts of the Plains from Texas into the Dakotas," said Paul Pastelok, chief long-range forecaster. "The stronger the upcoming El Niño conditions get, the longer it takes for weather patterns to return to their historical average." Drought conditions are already worsening. Nebraska, Wyoming, Colorado, and Oklahoma have all seen sharp increases in areas classified as extreme drought compared to a year ago.

No More Inertia: Pass Year-Round E15

The president of the National Farmers Union is urging Congress to approve year-round nationwide sales of E15 gasoline, saying the move would benefit both farmers and consumers. In a new Agri-Pulse opinion piece, Rob Larew noted that E15 is currently about 25 cents per gallon cheaper than standard gasoline and could save consumers more than $150 million this summer. Larew also said expanded E15 access would create a stronger domestic market for American corn growers by increasing demand for ethanol production. "E15 represents a scalable, durable domestic market for American crops — one that isn't subject to trade disputes or fluctuations in export volumes," Larew wrote. "The infrastructure exists, production capacity is in place, and farmers are ready to meet demand." The group continues pushing the Senate to pass legislation allowing year-round E15 sales nationwide. Supporters argue the measure would provide lower fuel costs for drivers while creating additional market opportunities for U.S. farmers and biofuel producers.

Tuesday Watch List

Markets

There are no major agricultural or macroeconomic reports scheduled for Tuesday. Traders will remain tuned in to the status of peace negotiations in the Middle East as well as U.S. and world weather.

Weather

A stalled front from the Central Plains down into the Southeast will be a focal point for scattered showers and thunderstorms throughout the day Tuesday, producing some areas of severe weather and maybe some heavy rain, too. In addition, another system is moving down from the Canadian Prairies into the Upper Midwest. That is also producing areas of scattered showers across the Northern Plains.

Monday Watch List

Markets

On Monday, USDA will release their weekly export inspections report at 10 a.m. CDT. At 2:30 p.m., CFTC will release the delayed Commitments of Traders report, updating positions as of last Tuesday, June 16. Lastly, USDA will release the weekly Crop Progress report at 3 p.m. CDT, with an updated look at conditions around the U.S.

Weather

A system pushed a cold front to the South and Southeast where scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue Monday. The system itself will move through the East. A trailing system spinning in the Northern Plains and Canadian Prairies will continue showers there on Monday as well.

USDA to Relocate Key FAS Functions in Reorganization

USDA announced Wednesday it will reorganize its Foreign Agricultural Service, shifting key operations closer to the nation’s agricultural regions while maintaining a smaller presence in Washington. The agency plans to establish a new operational hub in Kansas City, Missouri, and move many headquarters staff out of Washington over time. Some employees will relocate to USDA facilities in Beltsville, Maryland, while a reduced workforce will remain in the capital to handle trade policy, leadership and congressional engagement. Officials said the changes are intended to streamline operations, reduce costs tied to underused facilities and better align the agency with its mission of supporting U.S. agriculture and rural communities. The USDA said no layoffs are planned and that the transition will occur in phases with support provided to affected employees.

USDA Plan Clarifying H-2A Access Welcomed by Dairy Group

The National Milk Producers Federation on Thursday praised new federal guidance clarifying how dairy farms can use the H-2A agricultural worker program, calling it a step toward addressing long-standing labor challenges in the industry. The group said dairy producers have long sought access to H-2A, which has traditionally been limited to seasonal work, leaving year-round operations with fewer options. In a statement, NMPF President and CEO Gregg Doud said the updated guidance “will help open the door for dairies to begin using this program,” and praised federal officials for their role in advancing the effort. The organization said it plans to work with policymakers to secure long-term workforce solutions, including a transition framework for dairy operations. NMPF added that improved labor access could strengthen rural economies and support domestic dairy production.

Plains Drought Cuts Winter Wheat Production Forecast

Persistent drought across the Great Plains is taking a toll on America’s winter wheat crop. According to Reuters and USDA data, the department lowered its forecast for 2026-27 winter wheat production by about 2% from last month. Hard red winter wheat output is expected to fall to its lowest level in decades as drought continues to stress crops across major growing areas. Only about one-quarter of the nation’s winter wheat crop is rated in good-to-excellent condition, among the weakest ratings seen in recent years. The reduced harvest outlook prompted gains in hard red wheat futures as traders reacted to tightening supplies. Despite the lower wheat forecast, USDA left corn and soybean projections largely unchanged, helping limit broader grain market volatility. Analysts say weather conditions during harvest will determine whether additional production losses occur.

South American Crop Growth Pressures U.S. Grain Markets

Growing corn and soybean supplies in South America are creating new challenges for U.S. producers. The USDA increased production estimates for both Brazil and Argentina in its latest supply-and-demand report. Brazil’s corn crop is now projected at 138 million metric tons, while soybean production remains at a massive 180 million metric tons. Argentina’s corn and soybean forecasts also moved higher. The Wall Street Journal reports the larger crops contributed to weakness in Chicago grain futures as traders factored additional export competition into price forecasts. Analysts say abundant South American supplies could make it more difficult for U.S. exporters to gain market share during the coming marketing year. Farmers continue to monitor export demand and weather conditions as they assess potential marketing opportunities ahead of harvest. 

Corn and Soybean Planting Near Completion Nationwide

Most U.S. farmers have nearly finished spring planting as crop conditions remain generally favorable. According to USDA data reported by Successful Farming, 97% of the nation’s corn crop has been planted, while soybean planting is more than 90% complete. Kentucky, Nebraska and North Carolina have already finished corn planting. USDA reports show 67% of the corn crop is rated good to excellent, reflecting favorable weather across much of the Corn Belt. Soybean emergence is also progressing ahead of average in many states. Agronomists say timely rains and moderate temperatures have helped establish crops, although localized concerns remain in portions of the Plains and Upper Midwest. Attention is now shifting toward summer weather patterns, which will play a major role in determining yield potential.

China Soybean Demand Offers Support for U.S. Exports

Fresh soybean purchases by China are providing some encouragement for U.S. growers. The Wall Street Journal reports Chinese buyers have begun placing new orders for U.S. soybeans currently being planted. USDA officials say they remain optimistic China will meet previously announced purchasing commitments during the 2026 marketing year. The renewed demand comes as U.S. farmers face increased competition from record South American production. Analysts say Chinese purchases could help support soybean prices and improve export prospects later this year. Industry observers also note that growing demand from renewable fuel markets is increasing domestic soybean oil consumption, creating another source of support for the oilseed sector. Producers continue to watch trade developments closely as global demand remains a key factor in determining farm income.

New Study Shows Biofuels Are a Catalyst for U.S. Agriculture

A new study from S&P Global Energy says expanded biofuel demand could provide a major boost to U.S. agriculture while strengthening rural economies and improving food and energy security. The report, commissioned by U.S. Farmers and Ranchers in Action, warns that slowing population growth, stagnant food demand, and declining gasoline use could significantly reduce grain demand in the future. Researchers estimate U.S. corn acreage could fall by nearly one-third by 2050 if ethanol blend rates remain unchanged. USFRA Vice Chair Chip Bowling says the findings show biofuels are "not just an energy solution—they're an economic engine that could transform farming's future." The study projects global biofuel production could triple by 2050 under a high-growth scenario. Stronger biofuel markets would support farm income, encourage adoption of new technology, and keep U.S. corn acreage near current levels. Increased biofuel production could boost food and feed supplies by 45 percent compared to baseline projections.

Will Brazil’s Corn and Soybean Production Continue Growing in 2027?

Questions are emerging about whether Brazil can maintain its rapid pace of soybean and corn production growth in the 2027 crop year. Brazil, the world's largest soybean producer and a major corn exporter, is facing several challenges, including low commodity prices, high fertilizer costs, tight credit conditions, and the threat of El Niño-related weather problems. For the past 15 years, Brazil's soybean and corn output has expanded by roughly 6.5 percent annually. USDA forecasts still call for record soybean and corn production in the 2026-27 marketing year, continuing that trend. However, analysts say rising production costs and financial pressures could make those projections difficult to achieve. Brazil relies heavily on imported fertilizer, and higher input costs are squeezing margins that are already near breakeven levels for many producers. Adding to the uncertainty is the potential for a strong El Niño event, which could disrupt soybean planting and impact second-crop corn yields.