New York is the First State to Offer Tariff Relief to Farmers

New York has become the first state in the nation to launch a financial assistance program specifically designed to help farmers offset losses tied to trade tariffs. Governor Kathy Hochul (HOE-kull) announced that applications are now open for the state's $30 million Agricultural Resiliency Against Tariffs Program. Eligible producers can receive grants ranging from $1,000 to as much as $25,000. The program is available to qualifying dairy, livestock, specialty crop, and aquaculture operations. State officials say higher costs for imported feed, grain, and other inputs have increased financial pressure on farms affected by tariff policies. "I'm proud that our Agricultural Resiliency Against Tariffs Program will provide the much-needed relief to New York's farmers," Hochul said. Supporters say New York's action could serve as a model for other states looking to assist producers facing trade-related economic challenges. Eligible farms must meet income and production requirements to qualify for the payments.

Clean Fuels Thanks USDA for Final Regenerative Ag Rule and Calculator

Clean Fuels Alliance America is applauding USDA's finalization of a new rule designed to help farmers capture more value from regenerative agriculture practices. The Production of Regenerative Agricultural Biofuel Feedstocks rule, along with an updated USDA Feedstock Carbon Intensity Calculator, gives producers a way to measure the environmental benefits of conservation practices when supplying feedstocks for biodiesel, renewable diesel, and sustainable aviation fuel. "These rules will help farmers get more value from the expanding domestic market for biomass-based diesel," said Kurt Kovarik of Clean Fuels. "We appreciate USDA's responsiveness to industry input and simplification of the calculator." Clean Fuels says the updated guidance provides practical tools for producers while creating additional opportunities in the growing renewable fuels market. The organization also plans to continue working with USDA to expand approved feedstocks and conservation practices in future updates.

EWG Reports Sharp Rise in Livestock Antibiotic Use

Sales of medically important antibiotics for use in livestock jumped nearly 16 percent in 2024, raising new concerns among public health advocates about the growth of antibiotic-resistant bacteria. New data from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration show sales increased to nearly 7.1 million kilograms, up from 6.1 million kilograms in 2023. That's the largest year-over-year increase since 2017. According to the Environmental Working Group, sales of medically important antibiotics are now 28 percent higher than in 2017. Swine accounted for the largest share of antibiotic sales at 43 percent, followed by cattle at 41 percent. While poultry represented just four percent of total sales, antibiotic use in chickens increased 79 percent from the previous year. The Environmental Working Group said the increase cannot be explained by meat production, which rose less than one percent in 2024. The organization argues antibiotics continue to be widely used to prevent disease in healthy animals.

Overlooking a Talent Pipeline of Future Skilled Workers?

American businesses searching for skilled workers may be overlooking one of the country's largest talent pipelines: the National FFA Organization. FFA now has more than one million student members in over 9,000 chapters across all 50 states, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. While many employers report difficulty filling entry-level positions, FFA leaders say students are already gaining hands-on work experience, leadership training, and technical skills before graduating from high school. Through classroom instruction, supervised work-based learning, and leadership development, FFA members prepare for more than 350 careers, including agriculture, food science, veterinary medicine, banking, business, education, and government. A major part of that preparation comes through Supervised Agricultural Experiences, which give students real-world job experience under the guidance of agriculture teachers. FFA says that means many graduates enter the workforce with years of practical experience already on their resumes, making the organization a valuable and often overlooked source of future employees.

NASDA and USDA MOU Celebrates Family Farms

The USDA and the National Association of State Departments of Agriculture have launched the American Farm Legacy 250 Program, a new national effort recognizing multi-generational farm families that have helped shape American agriculture. The program will honor farms and ranches that have remained in continuous family operation for 250 years while also building on existing state Century Farm and Heritage Farm programs to celebrate agricultural stewardship across generations. "America's farmers and ranchers work tirelessly to feed, clothe, and fuel their communities and the world," said Ted McKinney, NASDA CEO. "This partnership recognizes families who have stewarded their land across generations while inspiring the next generation of agricultural leaders." USDA will oversee the national program, while NASDA will work with state agriculture departments to identify qualifying farms and coordinate recognition efforts. The first farms meeting the 250-year milestone were recognized this week as part of the nation's celebration leading up to America's 250th anniversary.

U.S. Wheat Associates Announces New Chair

A Kansas wheat producer is taking over leadership of the U.S. Wheat Associates. Gary Millershaski of Kansas was installed as chairman of the organization's Board of Directors during its summer meeting in Fargo, North Dakota. He succeeds North Dakota wheat farmer Jim Pellman and will serve a one-year term. "Gary has been an active board member and a valuable voice on the officer team," said Mike Spier, USW President and CEO. "He has visited many global markets and established relationships with wheat buyers around the world." Millershaski and his family raise hard red winter wheat, hard white wheat, corn, milo, and run a cow-calf herd in southwest Kansas. U.S. Wheat Associates works to build export demand for American wheat, helping connect U.S. producers with customers around the world and expanding overseas markets for the nation's wheat crop.

Tuesday Watch List

Markets

Tuesday's session will be centered around two major reports from USDA: the June Acreage and quarterly Grain Stocks reports, both out at 11 a.m. CDT. The reports will offer grain supply clues heading into the final two months of the 2025-26 corn and soybean crop year.

Weather

Hot and humid conditions continue to build across the eastern half of the country on Tuesday. A cluster of storms is found in the Upper Midwest, and additional areas of showers and thunderstorms will build on the edge of that heat from the Central Plains to the northern Great Lakes throughout the day. With all the hot and humid conditions to fuel thunderstorms, severe weather will be a concern again Tuesday, and really through the end of the week.

Grain Markets Brace for Key USDA Reports

Grain traders are positioning for one of the most closely watched government report releases of the year as USDA prepares to issue its Planted Acreage and Quarterly Grain Stocks reports on Tuesday. Market analysts say the reports could significantly influence corn, soybean and wheat prices by providing updated estimates of planted acreage and remaining grain supplies. A recent survey by Kluis Commodity Advisors and Successful Farming suggested farmers planted more corn acres and fewer soybean acres than USDA projected in March, potentially affecting market expectations. Futures traded cautiously Friday as investors balanced favorable crop weather with anticipation ahead of the June 30 reports. Analysts say the reports traditionally create heightened market volatility because they often reshape production and supply expectations entering the critical summer growing season. Weather forecasts and export demand also remain key factors influencing grain prices.

USDA Unveils Regenerative Feedstock Rule for Biofuels

USDA has finalized a new rule designed to expand market opportunities for farmers producing crops used in low-carbon biofuels. Announced alongside President Donald Trump's executive order promoting regenerative agriculture, the Regenerative Feedstock Rule establishes voluntary standards connecting regenerative farming practices with biofuel markets for corn, soybeans, sorghum and spring canola. USDA officials said the framework is intended to help producers qualify for emerging clean fuel markets while supporting domestic energy production. According to Ethanol Producer Magazine, the rule could create additional value for farmers supplying feedstocks eligible for the federal 45Z Clean Fuel Production Credit by providing a standardized pathway for documenting qualifying production practices. Agricultural organizations are reviewing the final rule to determine how growers and biofuel producers may participate as implementation guidance becomes available.

Trade, Biofuel Policy Continue to Drive Grain Markets

Trade developments, biofuel policy and upcoming government reports remain the primary forces influencing U.S. grain markets as producers head into the heart of the growing season. Market analysts say uncertainty surrounding export demand, renewable fuel policy and crop production estimates continue to create price volatility for corn and soybeans. USDA's new Regenerative Feedstock Rule and President Donald Trump's executive order supporting regenerative agriculture have renewed attention on potential long-term demand for crops used in ethanol and biodiesel production. At the same time, traders are awaiting USDA's June 30 Planted Acreage and Quarterly Grain Stocks reports, which historically have produced significant market swings by updating estimates for crop acreage and available supplies. Pro Farmer reported Friday that grain futures remained cautious as investors weighed favorable growing conditions against uncertainty over the upcoming data release. Analysts say weather, exports and federal energy policy will likely continue driving grain prices through the summer.

US Hog Inventory Edges Lower; Productivity Ticks Up

The U.S. hog and pig inventory totaled 73.7 million head as of June 1, down slightly from a year earlier and from March, USDA said Thursday in its quarterly report. Market hogs accounted for 67.8 million head, while 5.88 million were kept for breeding, according to USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service. Despite the smaller herd, production indicators improved. Producers weaned 33.5 million pigs from March through May, slightly above last year, with an average of 11.87 pigs per litter. Looking ahead, producers intend to farrow 2.90 million sows from June through August and 2.89 million from September through November. Iowa remained the top hog-producing state with 24.7 million head, followed by Minnesota and North Carolina. The report reflects modest herd contraction alongside continued gains in efficiency.

Survey Finds Rural Americans Most Concerned About AI Data Centers

Rural Americans are more concerned than their urban and suburban counterparts about the effects of artificial intelligence data centers, particularly rising electricity costs and the loss of farmland, according to new research from the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign and Purdue University. The study, published in farmdoc daily, found electricity costs ranked as the top concern among respondents, with rural residents expressing the highest levels of worry. More than half of rural participants said they were "very worried" that expanding data centers would increase power bills. Concerns over farmland conversion and water use also ranked above the survey midpoint. Researchers said AI data centers increasingly require large tracts of land, substantial electricity and significant water resources, making rural communities attractive locations. While such projects can generate tax revenue and temporary construction jobs, long-term employment benefits are often limited, according to research from the Brookings Institution.

Bipartisan Bill Seeks to Strengthen New World Screwworm Response

A bipartisan group of lawmakers has introduced legislation aimed at helping ranchers and livestock officials better detect and respond to the growing threat of New World screwworm following confirmed cases in New Mexico and Texas. U.S. Rep. Gabe Vasquez of New Mexico announced the Protecting America's Herds Act last week. The bill would authorize Cooperative Extension agents to train producers and agricultural personnel to identify, treat, prevent and report New World screwworm infestations. It would also allow extension personnel to serve as livestock inspectors and support the hiring and training of additional inspectors. The legislation also directs closer coordination among the USDA's Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service, veterinarians, state animal health officials and Tribal agricultural programs. Funding would prioritize states and Tribal communities considered at greatest risk for the parasite's introduction or spread as federal officials continue efforts to contain the livestock pest.

Monday Watch List

Markets

USDA will release their weekly Export Inspections report at 10 a.m. CDT on Monday, and after the close update crop conditions in the weekly Crop Progress report at 3 p.m. CDT. Otherwise, traders will be watching U.S. weather forecasts as June comes to a close.

Weather

A large heat dome is developing across the eastern half of the country on Monday. High heat and humidity will make it miserable to be outside. Thunderstorms are forming in the Dakotas and will continue along the edge of the heat across the Upper Midwest Monday as well. Some of those storms could be severe. 

Supreme Court says Roundup Cases Limited by Federal Law

The Supreme Court ruled that federal pesticide law limits certain state-based lawsuits alleging pesticide makers failed to warn users about health risks not recognized by federal regulators. The Hill said the Court sided with Monsanto in a case involving Roundup herbicide. The lawsuit was brought by Missouri resident John Durnell, who claimed the company failed to warn consumers about a cancer risk associated with glyphosate and was awarded $1.25 million under state law. The Court found that the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act, known as FIFRA, prevents states from imposing labeling requirements that differ from those approved by the EPA. The case centered on whether plaintiffs can sue pesticide companies in state court if they don’t warn of health effects that go beyond those formally recognized by the EPA. The ruling is expected to have significant implications for future pesticide litigation and could provide greater legal certainty for manufacturers operating under federally approved labeling standards.

Soybean Growers Applaud Supreme Court Decision on Glyphosate

The American Soybean Association is praising a U.S. Supreme Court ruling that federal pesticide labeling requirements take precedence over state failure-to-warn claims. The decision in Durnell v. Monsanto found that pesticide labels approved under federal law cannot be overridden by differing state requirements. Soybean growers say the ruling provides greater certainty for farmers who rely on crop protection products. "Farmers depend on clear, consistent labeling and a uniform regulatory framework to use pesticides safely and responsibly," ASA said in a statement. The organization added that the decision reaffirms the role of science-based regulation in pesticide oversight. ASA noted that the EPA and regulatory agencies around the world have repeatedly concluded that glyphosate does not pose a cancer risk when used as directed. The soybean group argued that conflicting state regulations create confusion and could limit access to important crop protection tools. 

Trump Administration Pushes for Year-Round E15 in Supplemental Request

The Renewable Fuels Association is applauding President Trump's latest call for Congress to approve permanent, year-round sales of E15 gasoline nationwide. In a supplemental funding request sent to Congress, the administration urged lawmakers to codify year-round E15 sales, calling it an urgent policy change that would expand consumer choice, support domestic fuel production, and add flexibility to fuel markets. "President Trump has clearly and consistently supported the year-round availability of E15," said Geoff Cooper. "He recognizes that E15 helps Americans save money with each fill-up while also strengthening the farm economy and bolstering U.S. energy security." According to the RFA, E15 has typically sold for 10 to 40 cents less per gallon than regular gasoline, with average savings of about 25 cents per gallon at the nation’s pumps in recent years. The group says expanded E15 access would also create additional demand for corn-based ethanol produced by American farmers.

Hot Weather Coming for the Fourth of July

A major heat dome is expected to build across the central and eastern U.S. next week, bringing widespread 90-degree temperatures and potentially dangerous heat just ahead of the Independence Day holiday. AccuWeather says the system will stretch from Texas to Pennsylvania and from Florida to Minnesota. Some areas could see temperatures approach 100 degrees, while it will feel like over 100 degrees in many locations. "A heat dome is a sprawling area of high pressure that creates hot and humid conditions for days or weeks at a time," said meteorologist Dan Pydynowski. The prolonged heat could add stress to crops, livestock, and farmworkers across parts of the Corn Belt and Plains. Overnight temperatures are also expected to remain unusually warm, limiting relief from daytime heat. Forecasters are also watching for the development of powerful thunderstorm complexes and possible derechos (deh-RAY-choes) along the edge of the heat dome.

NASDA Endorses Supply Chain Resiliency Act

The National Association of State Departments of Agriculture is supporting legislation designed to strengthen America's food supply chain and create new market opportunities for farmers and ranchers. The American Food Supply Chain Resiliency Act would make permanent USDA investments in food processing, storage, transportation, and distribution infrastructure—areas often referred to as the "middle" of the supply chain. Supporters say expanding that capacity could help producers reach more buyers, reduce bottlenecks, and keep more food dollars in rural communities. The bill would also establish Regional Food Systems Hubs to provide technical assistance, market development support, and better coordination among states and food businesses. "Federal investments play a key role in strengthening our nation's food systems by connecting farmers, businesses, and communities with the resources they need to succeed," said Ted McKinney. The legislation would improve domestic market access, increase procurement opportunities, and help build a more resilient food system while supporting long-term farm profitability and rural economic growth.

USDA Makes Operational and Conservation Funds Available

The USDA is making up to $310 million available through the Regional Conservation Partnership Program, or RCPP, to help farmers, ranchers, and forest landowners adopt conservation practices and strengthen their operations. The Natural Resources Conservation Service is accepting project proposals through Aug. 24. The program supports locally led solutions to natural resource challenges while helping producers improve productivity and long-term sustainability. "This significant investment through the Regional Conservation Partnership Program will further enable us to leverage our partnerships as force multipliers in supporting America's farmers," said NRCS Chief Colton L. Buckley. USDA says recent changes have streamlined the program and increased flexibility for conservation partners. Officials note that 75 percent of RCPP funding now goes directly to farmers or helps cover the cost of implementing conservation practices. It’s part of a broader expansion of federal conservation funding, which supporters say will help producers protect soil, water, and working lands while keeping farms productive and economically viable.

Friday Watch List

Markets

On Friday, there are no major reports scheduled for release during trading hours. After the close, CFTC will release the weekly Commitments of Traders report at 2:30 p.m. CDT, updating positions as of Tuesday, June 23.

Weather

A system is moving along a front draped across the Ohio Valley on Friday. Batches and pockets of showers and thunderstorms will occur in the region, leading to some additional areas of severe weather and heavy rain. Flooding continues to be an issue here. Another system is moving into the Pacific Northwest and will be the main player in a pattern change this weekend as additional showers and thunderstorms move into the High Plains again later Friday.

Highlights of Senate Farm Bill Discussion Text

Calling it the “Agricultural Act of 2026,” Senate Ag Committee Chair John Boozman (BOZE-man) released his farm bill discussion text this week. Boozman said it’s “built for farmers, ranchers, and producers.” It improves existing commodity, dairy, standing disaster, and crop insurance programs, while expanding opportunities tailored to the unique needs of specialty crop producers. The legislation also streamlines and strengthens conservation programs and bolsters Buy American requirements across nutrition programs. There is support for rural communities, including improved access to USDA Rural Development programs and private capital. The bill is also “built for the future” as it modernizes farm loan programs, more than doubles the funding for the Market Access and Foreign Market Development programs, and defends the security of U.S. agricultural land from foreign ownership. It also enhances the Farm and Ranch Stress Assistance Network to expand access to critical mental health care in rural communities. 

Reaction to Senate Farm Bill Proposal

U.S. agricultural groups reacted to the release of Senate Ag Committee Chair John Boozman’s farm bill proposal. National Milk Producers Federation CEO Gregg Doud applauded the bill authorizing mandatory cost and yield surveys to ensure future changes to the Federal Milk Marketing Orders reflect the most current market conditions. “Dairy farmers look forward to working with Senators to get this legislation passed and into conference with the House,” Doud said. Farm Bureau President Zippy Duvall said a few important priorities were left out, including more economic aid for farmers, protecting interstate commerce from a patchwork of state laws, and approving the sale of year-round E15 fuel. The National Farmers Union applauded the release but also said it could go further. “We need a true safety net that moves away from ad hoc assistance, keeps pace with rising production costs, and delivers real stability in the marketplace,” said NFU President Rob Larew.

NPPC Wants Prop 12 Fix Back in the Senate Farm Bill Discussion

America's pork producers are renewing their push for a fix to California's Proposition 12 as work continues on a new farm bill in the Senate. The National Pork Producers Council recently joined a coalition of agricultural groups urging Senate Agriculture Committee leaders to address what they call a growing patchwork of state livestock production laws. However, a discussion draft released by Senate Agriculture Committee Chairman John Boozman did not include language addressing Proposition 12. "America's pork producers will continue to advocate for a Prop. 12 fix in the formal farm bill like our livelihood depends on it—because it does," said Rob Brenneman, NPPC President. The pork group argues California's law creates uncertainty for producers nationwide and could encourage additional state-by-state regulations affecting livestock production. Despite disappointment over the omission, NPPC praised the draft's inclusion of funding for the U.S. Swine Health Improvement Plan and pledged to push for further improvements.

RMI Below Growth Neutral for Fourth Consecutive Month

Economic conditions across rural America remained under pressure in May as weak commodity prices and high input costs continued to strain farm finances, according to the latest Rural Mainstreet Index from Creighton University. The overall index fell to 45.7, marking the fourth consecutive month below growth-neutral levels. Any reading below 50 signals economic contraction. "Weakness in farm commodity prices and elevated agriculture input costs are spilling over into the rural business community," said Ernie Goss of Creighton. Nearly 48 percent of rural bankers reported farmers' financial conditions worsened compared to a year ago. Farm equipment sales remained particularly weak, with that index falling to 18.2, the 33rd straight month below growth neutral. Bankers also cited concerns about higher fuel and production costs squeezing operating margins. Despite the challenges, first-quarter agricultural exports from the 10-state survey region increased 7.5 percent from a year earlier, while exports to China jumped nearly 77 percent.

Fourth of July Cookout Cost Reflects Rising Inflation

A Fourth of July cookout will cost slightly more this year, according to the latest marketbasket survey from the American Farm Bureau Federation. A holiday cookout for 10 people will cost an average of $73.82, up nearly $3, or four percent, from last year. That’s about $7.38 per person and marks the highest nominal cost since the survey began in 2016. "Families are dealing with higher prices for many expenses, including groceries," said economist Faith Parum. "As you look at the purchasing power of the dollar, however, it has remained relatively stable when it comes to food." Higher ground beef prices were a major factor, rising 5.5 percent as cattle producers continue rebuilding herds following years of drought. Strawberry prices also climbed due to frost damage and higher labor costs. One bright spot for consumers was potato salad, down nearly 18 percent from last year, thanks to lower egg prices and strong potato supplies. 

Beekeepers Have a New Tool to Care for their Colonies

Beekeepers have a new resource to help protect honey bee colonies from one of their biggest threats. The Honey Bee Health Coalition has released the ninth edition of its Tools for Varroa (vah-ROW-ah) Management Guide. The updated publication provides the latest information on monitoring and controlling varroa mites, parasites that spread disease and are one of the leading causes of honey bee colony losses. "The Varroa Management Guide, updated ninth edition, will be your most valuable tool to include in the varroa management toolbox," said Dewey Caron, principal author. "It is dedicated to helping improve overwintering success by providing information to flatten the varroa growth curve and reduce bee colony viral epidemics." The guide was developed by a team of beekeepers, researchers, extension specialists, and regulators, and it reflects the latest science on varroa biology and treatment options. The coalition hopes the guide will help improve honey bee health, honey production, and pollination services.

Thursday Watch List

Markets

After a quiet few days, the schedule picks up on Thursday for reports beginning with USDA's weekly Export Sales data at 7:30 a.m. CDT. Also at that same time, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will release both the third revision of first quarter 2026 U.S. GDP as well as the May Personal Consumption Expenditure report. Finally, after the close at 2 p.m. CDT, USDA will release the quarterly Hogs and Pigs inventory report as well as the monthly Slaughter and Cold Storage reports.

Weather

A system is moving out of the Midwest, but its front will continue to produce showers and thunderstorms near the Ohio River, especially Thursday afternoon and evening. A system is moving into the Central Plains Thursday morning and is already producing widespread areas of showers and thunderstorms. That will continue to build throughout the day. Some areas of severe weather will occur with it as well.

Boozman Releases Farm Bill Text

A new Senate farm bill proposal could face an uphill battle after reports indicated it does not include a delay in planned changes to Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, or SNAP, funding. Politico said Senate Agriculture Committee Chairman John Boozman previewed the bill Monday ahead of its public release. Democrats have warned they will oppose a farm bill that fails to postpone a provision requiring some states to help cover SNAP benefit costs. The disagreement could complicate efforts to advance a new farm bill, as Senate leaders will likely need bipartisan support to reach the 60 votes required for passage. Despite the concerns, a Republican spokesperson for the Senate Agriculture Committee said Boozman has developed a discussion draft that can earn the bipartisan backing needed to move through the Senate. "The chairman will continue discussions with senators and industry representatives while finalizing the bill text," the spokesperson said.

Iran Could Buy U.S. Ag Products with Frozen Funds

American farmers could gain a new export market if ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran lead to an agreement allowing unfrozen Iranian assets to be used for food purchases. Speaking in Switzerland, Vice President J.D. Vance said the Trump administration wants any released Iranian funds directed toward purchases of U.S. agricultural products, including corn, soybeans, and wheat. "If Iranian assets are ever unfrozen, they are going to make American farmers richer and help feed the Iranian people," Vance said. President Donald Trump also voiced support for the proposal, saying Iran would buy food "exclusively through the U.S." using funds released under a memorandum of understanding between the two countries. Iran reportedly has billions of dollars in frozen assets held abroad, including funds in Qatar. If an agreement is finalized, U.S. grain producers could see additional demand from a market that has largely been absent in recent years, providing another potential outlet for American crops.

Applications Open for Ghana Trade Mission

The USDA is accepting applications for its Agribusiness Trade Mission to Ghana, scheduled for Sept. 22-25. The mission is designed to connect American agricultural exporters with buyers from Ghana and other West African countries. Applications are due July 1. "Expanding our export footprint here brings America's bounty to new markets and brings new sales back to rural America," said Luke J. Lindberg, USDA Undersecretary for Trade and Foreign Agricultural Affairs. USDA says Ghana represents a growing market for U.S. farm products, with agricultural exports reaching $175 million in 2025. Poultry and prepared foods currently account for much of that trade, but officials see opportunities for growth in beef, dairy products, grains, soybeans, animal feed, seafood, and forestry products. During the mission, U.S. companies will participate in one-on-one meetings with qualified buyers from across West Africa. USDA says the effort is aimed at creating new export opportunities that support farm income, rural jobs, and long-term growth.

Clean Fuels: EPA Building Domestic Markets for Farmers

According to Clean Fuels Alliance America, the Environmental Protection Agency's finalized Renewable Fuel Standard volumes for 2026 and 2027 will provide an important economic boost for American farmers by expanding domestic demand for biofuel feedstocks. The group says EPA's analysis found U.S. farmers are fully capable of supplying the crops and oils needed to meet higher renewable fuel targets. Clean Fuels argues the increased volumes come at a critical time as farmers face rising input costs and export challenges, including billions of dollars in lost agricultural sales to China. "EPA is purposefully building a domestic market for U.S. farmers," Clean Fuels said in its outlook, noting the agency expects biomass-based diesel production from soybean oil to nearly double by 2027. The organization says stronger demand for soybean oil, canola oil, and other feedstocks will create new marketing opportunities while reducing agriculture's reliance on export markets. The expanded targets will strengthen farm income and support economic growth.

Wheat Export Inspections Rise During the Week

Wheat export inspections improved last week, while corn and soybean assessments moved lower, according to the latest report from the USDA. USDA said 393,150 metric tons of wheat were inspected for overseas delivery, up from 358,098 tons the previous week and ahead of the same week a year ago. Corn inspections totaled 1.45 million metric tons, down from 1.65 million a week earlier and slightly below year-ago levels. Soybean inspections fell sharply to 241,045 metric tons from more than 533,000 tons the week before, though they remained above last year's pace. Despite the weekly decline, corn exports continue to run well ahead of last year. Since the marketing year began Sept. 1, USDA has inspected 67.1 million metric tons of corn for export, up from 53.6 million tons a year ago. Soybean inspections for the marketing year remain behind last year's pace at 36.8 million metric tons.

Dairy Checkoff New Product Competition Announces Winner

A team of food science students from Utah State University has captured first place in Dairy Management Inc.'s New Product Competition with a high-protein personal pizza featuring a crust made primarily from dairy ingredients. The winning product, called Athena's Slice, was recognized during the annual meeting of the American Dairy Science Association in Milwaukee. Designed to support bone health, muscle health, and weight management, the pizza features a crust made with cottage cheese, mozzarella, Parmesan, and nonfat dry milk. The finished product delivers 30 grams of protein per serving. Team members received Dairy Management Inc.'s Platinum Dairy Innovator Award and a $10,000 prize. "Protein has been one of the biggest trends for years, so that was important to us," said the students. "Those concepts came together, and that's really how Athena's Slice was born." Judges praised the product for showcasing dairy's versatility while meeting growing consumer demand for protein-rich foods.

Wednesday Watch List

Markets

Wednesday is another relatively quiet day for reports. The EIA's weekly Petroleum Status report is out at 9:30 a.m. CDT, which will include last week's ethanol production and stocks.

Weather

A system is moving into the Midwest with scattered showers for Wednesday. A front has been stalled from Colorado down to the Gulf Coast the last few days and continues to produce areas of showers and thunderstorms. Some of those could be severe, especially in the High Plains. Continued rainfall in similar areas along the front could produce some areas of flooding.

Costs Going Higher in 2027

USDA's latest Commodity Cost and Returns report shows production expenses are expected to climb for every major crop in 2026 as global energy and fertilizer market disruptions continue to ripple through agriculture. The report follows months of volatility tied to conflict involving Iran and concerns about shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Higher fertilizer costs are adding pressure to already tight farm margins. The findings mirror a recent American Farm Bureau Federation survey in which 70 percent of farmers said they couldn't afford all the fertilizer needed for the 2026 crop year. The outlook for 2027 offers little relief. USDA projects production costs will reach record highs for most major crops, driven by rising seed, chemical, labor, machinery, repair, and cash rent expenses. Rice is projected to have the highest production cost at $1,427 per acre, followed by peanuts at $1,248, cotton at $1,001, and corn at $952.

CoBank: Dairy Heifer Inventories Will Rebound in 2027

The U.S. dairy herd has grown to its largest size in three decades, but the supply of replacement heifers is at its lowest level since 1978. That’s according to a new report from CoBank. It says dairy producers are increasingly breeding cows to produce beef-on-dairy calves rather than future milk cows, taking advantage of record-high cattle prices and strong beef demand. As a result, replacement heifer supplies are expected to tighten further in 2026 before beginning a recovery in 2027. Heifer prices have surged above $3,000 per head, prompting many dairies to keep older cows in production longer than usual. "On most dairy farms, net margins are currently being driven by the beef check, not the milk check," said Corey Geiger, CoBank’s Lead Dairy Economist. "That shift is reshaping the U.S. dairy herd, most notably through the decline in replacement heifers."

Dairy Cooperative Applauds H-2A Guidance

Dairy farmers may soon have a new option for hiring workers after the Trump administration announced guidance allowing dairy operations to access the H-2A visa program if they can demonstrate a temporary or seasonal labor need. Previously, most dairy farms were excluded from H-2A because milk production requires year-round labor. Under the new guidance, applications will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis using the same standards applied to other H-2A employers. Edge Dairy Farmer Cooperative in Green Bay, Wisconsin, welcomed the change, calling it an important step toward addressing long-standing workforce shortages on dairy farms. "As a dairy farmer, this move is an encouraging milestone to have access to a visa program and address our labor force needs," said Heidi Fischer, the president of Edge Cooperative.  Fischer said reliable labor is critical to food production and urged Congress to continue pursuing permanent workforce reforms for the dairy industry.

Fertilizer Prices Will Take Time to Recover After Strait Opening

The fertilizer industry is welcoming the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz following a new agreement between the United States and Iran, calling it a positive development for farmers and global agricultural supply chains. The Fertilizer Institute says the waterway is a critical route for fertilizer and energy shipments. Roughly 40 percent of the world's urea fertilizer and about half of global sulfur supplies move through the strait each year. "Farmers in the U.S. and around the world need this vital shipping lane open and operational," said Corey Rosenbusch, president and CEO of the Fertilizer Institute. Despite the reopening, industry leaders warn supply chains won't return to normal overnight. Tankers carrying oil are expected to receive priority, and damage assessments continue at production facilities throughout the region. TFI economist Veronica Nigh (NYE) said fertilizer markets may take months to fully recover from the disruption.

Strong El Niño Could Mean Drier Weather Ahead

An exceptionally strong El Niño, expected to peak later this year, could set the stage for drought conditions across the Plains lasting well into the end of the decade, according to AccuWeather. Climate experts say there is a 70 percent chance the event reaches "Super El Niño" status. While El Niño often brings increased rainfall to the southern United States, history shows that major events can be followed by several years of drier-than-normal weather across the Plains. "After El Niño ends, the following two to three years can end up being significantly drier in parts of the Plains from Texas into the Dakotas," said Paul Pastelok, chief long-range forecaster. "The stronger the upcoming El Niño conditions get, the longer it takes for weather patterns to return to their historical average." Drought conditions are already worsening. Nebraska, Wyoming, Colorado, and Oklahoma have all seen sharp increases in areas classified as extreme drought compared to a year ago.

No More Inertia: Pass Year-Round E15

The president of the National Farmers Union is urging Congress to approve year-round nationwide sales of E15 gasoline, saying the move would benefit both farmers and consumers. In a new Agri-Pulse opinion piece, Rob Larew noted that E15 is currently about 25 cents per gallon cheaper than standard gasoline and could save consumers more than $150 million this summer. Larew also said expanded E15 access would create a stronger domestic market for American corn growers by increasing demand for ethanol production. "E15 represents a scalable, durable domestic market for American crops — one that isn't subject to trade disputes or fluctuations in export volumes," Larew wrote. "The infrastructure exists, production capacity is in place, and farmers are ready to meet demand." The group continues pushing the Senate to pass legislation allowing year-round E15 sales nationwide. Supporters argue the measure would provide lower fuel costs for drivers while creating additional market opportunities for U.S. farmers and biofuel producers.

Tuesday Watch List

Markets

There are no major agricultural or macroeconomic reports scheduled for Tuesday. Traders will remain tuned in to the status of peace negotiations in the Middle East as well as U.S. and world weather.

Weather

A stalled front from the Central Plains down into the Southeast will be a focal point for scattered showers and thunderstorms throughout the day Tuesday, producing some areas of severe weather and maybe some heavy rain, too. In addition, another system is moving down from the Canadian Prairies into the Upper Midwest. That is also producing areas of scattered showers across the Northern Plains.

Monday Watch List

Markets

On Monday, USDA will release their weekly export inspections report at 10 a.m. CDT. At 2:30 p.m., CFTC will release the delayed Commitments of Traders report, updating positions as of last Tuesday, June 16. Lastly, USDA will release the weekly Crop Progress report at 3 p.m. CDT, with an updated look at conditions around the U.S.

Weather

A system pushed a cold front to the South and Southeast where scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue Monday. The system itself will move through the East. A trailing system spinning in the Northern Plains and Canadian Prairies will continue showers there on Monday as well.

USDA to Relocate Key FAS Functions in Reorganization

USDA announced Wednesday it will reorganize its Foreign Agricultural Service, shifting key operations closer to the nation’s agricultural regions while maintaining a smaller presence in Washington. The agency plans to establish a new operational hub in Kansas City, Missouri, and move many headquarters staff out of Washington over time. Some employees will relocate to USDA facilities in Beltsville, Maryland, while a reduced workforce will remain in the capital to handle trade policy, leadership and congressional engagement. Officials said the changes are intended to streamline operations, reduce costs tied to underused facilities and better align the agency with its mission of supporting U.S. agriculture and rural communities. The USDA said no layoffs are planned and that the transition will occur in phases with support provided to affected employees.

USDA Plan Clarifying H-2A Access Welcomed by Dairy Group

The National Milk Producers Federation on Thursday praised new federal guidance clarifying how dairy farms can use the H-2A agricultural worker program, calling it a step toward addressing long-standing labor challenges in the industry. The group said dairy producers have long sought access to H-2A, which has traditionally been limited to seasonal work, leaving year-round operations with fewer options. In a statement, NMPF President and CEO Gregg Doud said the updated guidance “will help open the door for dairies to begin using this program,” and praised federal officials for their role in advancing the effort. The organization said it plans to work with policymakers to secure long-term workforce solutions, including a transition framework for dairy operations. NMPF added that improved labor access could strengthen rural economies and support domestic dairy production.

Plains Drought Cuts Winter Wheat Production Forecast

Persistent drought across the Great Plains is taking a toll on America’s winter wheat crop. According to Reuters and USDA data, the department lowered its forecast for 2026-27 winter wheat production by about 2% from last month. Hard red winter wheat output is expected to fall to its lowest level in decades as drought continues to stress crops across major growing areas. Only about one-quarter of the nation’s winter wheat crop is rated in good-to-excellent condition, among the weakest ratings seen in recent years. The reduced harvest outlook prompted gains in hard red wheat futures as traders reacted to tightening supplies. Despite the lower wheat forecast, USDA left corn and soybean projections largely unchanged, helping limit broader grain market volatility. Analysts say weather conditions during harvest will determine whether additional production losses occur.

South American Crop Growth Pressures U.S. Grain Markets

Growing corn and soybean supplies in South America are creating new challenges for U.S. producers. The USDA increased production estimates for both Brazil and Argentina in its latest supply-and-demand report. Brazil’s corn crop is now projected at 138 million metric tons, while soybean production remains at a massive 180 million metric tons. Argentina’s corn and soybean forecasts also moved higher. The Wall Street Journal reports the larger crops contributed to weakness in Chicago grain futures as traders factored additional export competition into price forecasts. Analysts say abundant South American supplies could make it more difficult for U.S. exporters to gain market share during the coming marketing year. Farmers continue to monitor export demand and weather conditions as they assess potential marketing opportunities ahead of harvest. 

Corn and Soybean Planting Near Completion Nationwide

Most U.S. farmers have nearly finished spring planting as crop conditions remain generally favorable. According to USDA data reported by Successful Farming, 97% of the nation’s corn crop has been planted, while soybean planting is more than 90% complete. Kentucky, Nebraska and North Carolina have already finished corn planting. USDA reports show 67% of the corn crop is rated good to excellent, reflecting favorable weather across much of the Corn Belt. Soybean emergence is also progressing ahead of average in many states. Agronomists say timely rains and moderate temperatures have helped establish crops, although localized concerns remain in portions of the Plains and Upper Midwest. Attention is now shifting toward summer weather patterns, which will play a major role in determining yield potential.

China Soybean Demand Offers Support for U.S. Exports

Fresh soybean purchases by China are providing some encouragement for U.S. growers. The Wall Street Journal reports Chinese buyers have begun placing new orders for U.S. soybeans currently being planted. USDA officials say they remain optimistic China will meet previously announced purchasing commitments during the 2026 marketing year. The renewed demand comes as U.S. farmers face increased competition from record South American production. Analysts say Chinese purchases could help support soybean prices and improve export prospects later this year. Industry observers also note that growing demand from renewable fuel markets is increasing domestic soybean oil consumption, creating another source of support for the oilseed sector. Producers continue to watch trade developments closely as global demand remains a key factor in determining farm income.

New Study Shows Biofuels Are a Catalyst for U.S. Agriculture

A new study from S&P Global Energy says expanded biofuel demand could provide a major boost to U.S. agriculture while strengthening rural economies and improving food and energy security. The report, commissioned by U.S. Farmers and Ranchers in Action, warns that slowing population growth, stagnant food demand, and declining gasoline use could significantly reduce grain demand in the future. Researchers estimate U.S. corn acreage could fall by nearly one-third by 2050 if ethanol blend rates remain unchanged. USFRA Vice Chair Chip Bowling says the findings show biofuels are "not just an energy solution—they're an economic engine that could transform farming's future." The study projects global biofuel production could triple by 2050 under a high-growth scenario. Stronger biofuel markets would support farm income, encourage adoption of new technology, and keep U.S. corn acreage near current levels. Increased biofuel production could boost food and feed supplies by 45 percent compared to baseline projections.

Will Brazil’s Corn and Soybean Production Continue Growing in 2027?

Questions are emerging about whether Brazil can maintain its rapid pace of soybean and corn production growth in the 2027 crop year. Brazil, the world's largest soybean producer and a major corn exporter, is facing several challenges, including low commodity prices, high fertilizer costs, tight credit conditions, and the threat of El Niño-related weather problems. For the past 15 years, Brazil's soybean and corn output has expanded by roughly 6.5 percent annually. USDA forecasts still call for record soybean and corn production in the 2026-27 marketing year, continuing that trend. However, analysts say rising production costs and financial pressures could make those projections difficult to achieve. Brazil relies heavily on imported fertilizer, and higher input costs are squeezing margins that are already near breakeven levels for many producers. Adding to the uncertainty is the potential for a strong El Niño event, which could disrupt soybean planting and impact second-crop corn yields.

Applications Open for 2027 Veteran Farmer Award of Excellence

The American Farm Bureau is now accepting applications for its 2027 Veteran Farmer Award of Excellence. The award, supported by Farm Credit, recognizes military veterans and active-duty service members who have demonstrated excellence in agriculture while making a positive impact in their communities. The winner will receive a $10,000 cash prize along with travel expenses to attend the = Farm Bureau’s Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina, next January. AFBF President Zippy Duvall says, "We're proud to shine a spotlight on veterans for their service to our nation and their meaningful contributions to agriculture and their communities." Last year's recipient was retired Army Command Sgt. Maj. Matthew Rutter of South Carolina. After serving 22 years in the military, Rutter helped launch programs that train veterans for careers in agriculture and assist with the transition to civilian life. Applications are due by Sept. 1. The winner will be announced publicly on Veterans Day.

FSA County Committee Nominations are now Open

The USDA is encouraging farmers and ranchers to step forward and serve on local Farm Service Agency county committees. Nominations are now being accepted for the 2026 election cycle, with forms due to local FSA offices by Aug. 3. FSA county committees help make key decisions on how federal farm programs are administered at the local level, including disaster assistance, conservation programs, commodity support, and county office operations. FSA Administrator Bill Beam says, "Local voices matter, and agricultural producers play an important role in shaping how federal farm programs serve their communities." Eligible candidates must participate in or cooperate in a USDA program and live within a Local Administrative Area that is up for election this year. Producers may nominate themselves, be nominated by others, or be nominated by qualifying organizations. More than 7,700 producers currently serve on FSA county committees nationwide. For more information, contact your local FSA office.

AI Use and Skepticism in Agriculture is Broad

A new survey suggests artificial intelligence is gaining traction on America's farms and ranches, though many producers remain cautious about the technology. Research firm MorganMyers found 75 percent of farmers and ranchers have used AI tools such as ChatGPT or Gemini, with nearly half of those users turning to the technology at least weekly. The survey found AI adoption is highest among dairy producers, younger farmers, and larger operations. Smaller farms, older producers, and many row-crop growers are less likely to use the tools. MorganMyers Senior Vice President Greg Ehm says, "Farmers and ranchers aren't resistant to AI. Our survey confirms they're trying it out and can already see areas where it delivers value." Researchers found most producers use AI for practical business purposes, but trust remains a challenge. Many respondents said AI shows promise but still requires human oversight and validation. Proven results and transparency will be key to broader adoption across agriculture.

CME Group Leader Stepping Down

Leadership changes are coming to CME Group, the parent company of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and a key marketplace for agricultural futures trading. The company announced that longtime CEO Terry Duffy will step down on March 1, 2027, and transition to the role of executive chairman. He will be succeeded by current President and Chief Financial Officer Lynne Fitzpatrick. Duffy has led CME Group through more than two decades of growth and transformation, helping turn the Chicago-based exchange operator into one of the world's largest derivatives marketplaces. "Leading CME Group through more than 25 years of transformative growth has been among the highest honors of my life," Duffy said in a statement. During his tenure, CME moved from traditional floor trading to electronic markets and completed several acquisitions, including a merger with the Chicago Board of Trade. The leadership transition will be closely watched by agricultural producers who rely on CME markets for grain, livestock, and risk-management pricing.

Thursday Watch List

Markets

Thursday will be the final trading session for the week with grain markets closed on Friday, June 19, in observance of Juneteenth. For reports, USDA will release the weekly Export Sales report at 7:30 a.m. CDT. Later in the afternoon, USDA will release the June Cattle on Feed report at 2 p.m. CDT.

Weather

The remnants of Tropical Storm Arthur have moved into the central Gulf Coast with a ball of heavy rain that will continue deeper into the Southeast on Thursday. A front from a system that went through the Midwest on Wednesday will sag into the South and Southeast, enhancing showers as well. Behind the system in some cooler air, areas of isolated showers will be possible from the Midwest back through the Canadian Prairies.

H-2A Certifications Up 17 Percent So Far in 2026

The H-2A temporary agricultural worker program continues to grow rapidly, with the Labor Department certifying 17 percent more jobs during the first half of fiscal 2026 compared to a year earlier. The program allows U.S. growers to hire foreign workers for seasonal farm labor, helping producers fill critical labor shortages while providing workers with higher wages than they could typically earn in their home countries. Former American Farm Bureau Economist Samantha Ayoub reported in January that “the H-2A program continues to grow, with 13,358 more positions certified in fiscal year 2025 than fiscal year 2024. This marks the first year in program history that over 400,000 workers were requested, highlighting the continued domestic labor shortages American farmers and ranchers face.” These are positions that arise from a proven lack of domestic interest in the seasonal jobs. The H-2A program has grown 185 percent in the last ten years.

States Imposing Livestock Movement Restrictions Because of NWS

States across the country are tightening livestock movement rules as concerns grow over the spread of New World screwworm. Federal authorities have confirmed 12 cases of the parasite since June 3, with all but one detected in Texas. In response, several states are increasing surveillance and imposing new restrictions on animal imports from affected areas. Pennsylvania issued a quarantine order requiring additional inspections and health certifications for susceptible animals entering the state. "Pennsylvania has no confirmed cases of New World Screwworm, but this destructive pest poses a serious threat to our livestock industry, companion animals, wildlife, and agricultural economy," said Pennsylvania Agriculture Secretary Russell Redding. Farm and Dairy said West Virginia, Montana, North Dakota, and South Dakota have also adopted stricter entry requirements for livestock. Agriculture officials say enhanced biosecurity and movement controls are critical to preventing the parasite from spreading into additional livestock-producing regions.

Senators Want More Action Against NWS

A bipartisan group of U.S. senators is urging the USDA to take additional steps to contain the growing New World Screwworm outbreak in the U.S. The lawmakers, led by Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota, sent a letter to USDA expressing concern about the threat the parasite poses to livestock, wildlife, pets, and rural economies. According to the senators, USDA has confirmed 12 active cases of New World Screwworm since early June. "We urge the USDA to take further immediate action to contain and respond to this emergency," the senators wrote. The lawmakers acknowledged USDA's ongoing response efforts, including increased surveillance, sterile fly releases, and coordination with state animal health officials. However, they said the evolving situation requires additional action to prevent further spread. Wisconsin Senator Tammy Baldwin joined 16 other senators in signing the letter. USDA officials continue to stress that the nation's food supply remains safe despite the outbreak.

Export Inspections of Corn Decline

U.S. corn export inspections slowed last week, while soybean and wheat assessments moved higher, according to the latest USDA report. USDA says 1.64 million metric tons of corn were inspected for export during the week ending June 11, down from just over two million tons the previous week and slightly below the volume inspected during the same week last year. Soybean inspections improved to 522,687 metric tons, up from 412,122 tons the week before and more than double the amount inspected during the same period last year. Wheat export inspections also edged higher to 334,292 metric tons. Despite the weekly decline, corn exports remain well ahead of last year's pace. Since the start of the marketing year, USDA has inspected 65.6 million metric tons of corn for overseas shipment, compared to 52.1 million tons during the same period a year ago. Soybean and wheat export inspections continue to trail year-ago levels.

Iowa Pseudorabies Outbreak Successfully Contained

Iowa livestock officials say a recent Pseudorabies outbreak has been successfully contained and eradicated. Iowa Secretary of Agriculture Mike Naig announced that the state has completed the response protocol required by USDA's Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service after the virus was detected in a small commercial swine facility in April. A second round of testing found no additional cases, confirming the virus did not spread beyond the affected operation. Fewer than ten swine facilities had remained under quarantine during the response. All have now tested negative and been released, allowing producers to resume normal animal movements. "Thanks to a strong, coordinated effort, this situation has been resolved, and we were able to successfully contain and eradicate the Pseudorabies virus from Iowa," Naig said. The successful response allows Iowa and the United States to maintain their Pseudorabies-free status for trade purposes. Officials emphasized that Pseudorabies does not pose a risk to human health or food safety.

El Niño Officially Here

Forecasters are reminding farmers and ranchers that no two El Niño weather patterns are exactly alike, but the climate phenomenon often brings important impacts for U.S. agriculture. El Niño typically reaches its peak strength during the winter months and can alter weather patterns across much of the country. During a typical El Niño winter, the jet stream shifts south, increasing the chances for wetter and stormier conditions across the southern U.S. while bringing warmer-than-normal temperatures to much of the northern tier. "Every El Niño is not the same; each one is unique with its own imprint on our weather," said Ken Graham, director of NOAA's National Weather Service. Meteorologists say El Niño can also suppress hurricane activity in the Atlantic while increasing tropical development in parts of the Pacific. For agriculture, the biggest concern remains its influence on precipitation patterns, soil moisture, and crop-growing conditions heading into the next production season.

Wednesday Watch List

Markets

On Wednesday, the Energy Information Administration will release the weekly Petroleum Status report at 9:30 a.m. CDT, including last week's ethanol production. At 1 p.m., the Federal Reserve will announce their latest interest rate decision which will be followed by a press conference with new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.

Weather

A system is moving into the Midwest for Wednesday and has a good chance of spreading severe storms across the region throughout the day. The primary area for severe storms is from Missouri through Indiana, but adjacent areas of the Midwest could see some severe weather, too. In addition, a tropical low-pressure center along the central Texas coastline may become named later Wednesday. But even if it doesn't, it will be producing heavy rain near the coast as well.

Group Welcomes 45Z GREET Model Update

Clean fuel producers have more certainty heading into the current tax year following an updated federal model tied to the 45Z Clean Fuel Production Credit. Clean Fuels Alliance America welcomed the Department of Energy's release of the latest 45ZCF-GREET model, which reflects changes approved by Congress last July. The updates remove indirect land use change penalties and limit eligibility to fuels made from feedstocks sourced in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The revised model allows biodiesel, renewable diesel, and sustainable aviation fuel producers to accurately calculate tax credits available for fuel produced this year. Kurt Kovarik, Vice President of Federal Affairs for Clean Fuels Alliance America, says the update provides needed certainty for the industry. "We appreciate this timely update,” Kovarik said. “This increased certainty will help our industry achieve the administration's goals of generating more domestic energy and creating new domestic market opportunities for farmers."

Rural Debt in Brazil Leads to Rising Farm Auctions

Financial stress is mounting in Brazil's farm sector as auctions of creditor-seized farmland continue to climb. According to data compiled by Reuters, rising debt troubles are forcing more Brazilian farmers into bankruptcy or loan defaults. Lower grain prices, high interest rates, rising input costs, and weather-related crop losses have combined to squeeze farm profitability across the country. The southern state of Rio Grande do Sul has been especially hard hit after devastating floods in 2024 damaged crops and farm finances. Producers are also watching weather forecasts closely amid concerns about a potential El Niño pattern that could hurt future yields. Brazil's central bank reports troubled rural credit loans surged to the equivalent of $33 billion. Problem loans now account for nearly 20 percent of outstanding farm credit, up from just 5.5 percent two years ago. One analyst told Reuters the numbers show "a significant deterioration in the financial health of Brazil's agricultural sector.”

Monday Morning NWS Cases Up to 12 Confirmed

Texas agriculture officials are expanding efforts to contain an outbreak of the New World Screwworm as confirmed cases continue increasing in the state. Texas state animal health authorities confirmed 11 cases involving cattle and other livestock, prompting expanded quarantine zones in affected areas. Under the restrictions, livestock cannot leave quarantine zones without authorization. The total number of cases is up to 12, including the confirmed case in New Mexico. News Nation Now said the growing number of cases has raised concerns among ranchers that the parasitic fly could spread farther north into major cattle-producing regions. Producers say the outbreak is especially troubling as confirmed cases move closer to the Dallas area. Officials are urging producers everywhere to closely monitor animals for signs of infestation and report suspected cases immediately. A Texas rancher told local media, "It's unsettling to see the outbreak moving closer. We're all paying close attention and hoping containment efforts work."

Farm Credit System Remains Stable Despite Increasing Financial Risks

The Farm Credit System remains financially strong despite growing stress in parts of the farm economy, according to information presented to the Farm Credit Administration board. As of March 31, the System reported stable earnings and increased capital levels. Total capital reached $86.4 billion, up 7.3 percent from last year, leaving the nation's largest agricultural lender well-positioned to meet the borrowing needs of farmers and ranchers. Loan quality remained sound overall, although credit risks increased. Nonperforming assets rose to 1.09 percent of loans and other property owned, compared to 0.96 percent a year ago, reflecting financial pressure in some agricultural sectors. The report also noted growing economic challenges, including higher energy costs and inflation tied to conflict in the Middle East. Despite expectations for lower net farm income in 2026, farm finances continue to benefit from federal support programs. The System remains "well-positioned to meet the funding and liquidity needs of farmers and ranchers."

USDA Restoring Grazing Opportunities for U.S. Ranchers

The USDA is expanding livestock grazing opportunities on federal lands. Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins announced new directives to U.S. Forest Service employees aimed at increasing grazing access, streamlining permit approvals, and reducing regulatory barriers for ranchers operating on National Forest System lands. The directives support a grazing agreement between USDA and the Interior Department and are part of the administration's broader effort to strengthen the U.S. beef industry. Among the changes, the Forest Service will prioritize permitting vacant or closed grazing allotments, maximize grazing flexibility, speed up authorization processes, and increase rancher involvement in management decisions. "America's ranchers are an integral component of our rural economies, our food security, and our national strength," Rollins said. "Today, we are empowering line officers with clear direction and reaffirming grazing as an essential tool for healthy landscapes and vibrant rural communities." USDA also says roughly 23,000 permittees and lessees rely on public grazing lands.

Sugar Producers Support the National Pastime

American agriculture took center field ahead of the 2026 Congressional Baseball Game for Charity. The American Sugar Alliance joined Ducks Unlimited, the National Cotton Council, the U.S. Rice Producers Association, Farm Credit, and the U.S. Peanut Federation in hosting a reception for members of Congress and their staffs to highlight the role farmers play in America's food supply. The groups emphasized that many of the foods enjoyed at baseball games—from sweetened beverages to peanuts and hot dogs—depend on products grown by U.S. farmers and ranchers. Cotton growers also help supply materials used in team uniforms. The American Sugar Alliance used the event to advocate for policies supporting domestic sugar production. The organization is urging Congress to invest in family farms, pass a new five-year Farm Bill, and strengthen protections against excess sugar imports. Maintaining a strong domestic agricultural sector is critical to preserving rural jobs and supporting food security.

Tuesday Watch List

Markets

There are no major reports scheduled for Tuesday. Traders will continue to watch for updates pertaining to the newly announced peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran, as well as monitor U.S. weather.

Weather

A small system is moving through the Midwest on Tuesday and will produce areas of showers and thunderstorms. A couple of stronger storms may be possible there. A front remains stalled near the Gulf Coast where heavy rain will be possible. A small tropical low-pressure center continues near the Texas coastline and has a chance to become a named system Tuesday or Wednesday. Another system will move through the Canadian Prairies into the Northern Plains as well. This will be the most potent system of the week with its main impacts across the Midwest on Wednesday.

USDA Lowers Winter Wheat Forecast as Plains Drought Persists

USDA lowered its forecast for the 2026 winter wheat crop Thursday, citing continued drought stress across key production areas in the Southern Plains. The June World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report projected winter wheat production at about 1.03 billion bushels, down from earlier expectations. The agency reduced yield estimates for hard red winter wheat, the variety primarily grown in Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas. Hard red winter wheat production is expected to be among the smallest crops in decades. Market analysts noted that prolonged dry conditions limited crop development despite scattered spring rainfall. Reuters reported wheat futures rose following the report as traders reacted to tightening supplies. Analysts interviewed by Agriculture.com said the lower production outlook could support wheat prices if adverse weather continues through harvest. USDA’s next major crop update will come later this month when acreage and grain stock estimates are released, providing a clearer picture of overall U.S. grain supplies.

EPA Biofuel Proposal Boosts Soybean Oil Demand Outlook

A proposal by the Environmental Protection Agency to increase renewable fuel blending requirements through 2027 is drawing strong reactions across the agricultural sector and boosting expectations for soybean oil demand. The proposal would raise Renewable Fuel Standard volumes and encourage greater use of biomass-based diesel and other renewable fuels. Reuters reported soybean oil futures climbed following the announcement as traders anticipated increased demand from biofuel producers. The American Soybean Association welcomed the proposal, saying stronger biofuel markets could create additional opportunities for soybean growers. Livestock organizations, however, expressed concern that increased demand for soybean oil could contribute to higher feed costs. According to EPA documents, the agency expects the proposal to support domestic energy production while reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Industry analysts cited by Bloomberg and Reuters said final blending requirements could significantly influence crop markets, renewable diesel investments and feedstock demand over the next several years. The proposal is subject to a public comment period before becoming final.

School Meal Provision in Farm Bill Sparks Food Sourcing Debate

A proposed provision in the House farm bill that would limit schools’ ability to purchase certain imported foods is generating debate among agricultural groups and school nutrition officials. Supporters say the measure would increase purchases of U.S.-grown products and strengthen domestic agricultural markets. Critics argue the restrictions could reduce menu flexibility and complicate procurement of items that are not widely produced in the United States. According to reporting by The Guardian, school nutrition organizations have raised concerns that products such as bananas and other imported fruits could become more difficult or expensive to obtain under the proposal. Agricultural groups backing the measure contend taxpayer-funded meal programs should prioritize American-grown foods whenever possible. The School Nutrition Association said districts already face budget pressures and supply-chain challenges. House Agriculture Committee supporters argue the proposal aligns with broader efforts to support domestic farmers and ranchers. Lawmakers are expected to continue debating farm bill provisions as Congress works toward consideration of comprehensive agriculture legislation later this year.

California Table Grape Harvest Set for Early Start as Growers Eye Strong Season

California’s table grape industry is preparing for one of its earliest harvests in recent years, with growers reporting vineyards are running roughly two weeks ahead of last season following favorable weather conditions. Harvesting is expected to begin in the Arvin district of Kern County next week, with most growers across the San Joaquin Valley entering production by late June, according to industry estimates. Growers project the 2026 crop at approximately 96 million boxes, with early reports indicating strong fruit size and quality. Philippe Markarian of Mirabella Farms told FreshPlaza that vineyards are about 14 to 16 days ahead of last year, while other industry sources have reported similar advances due to warm spring weather. Growers say favorable growing conditions and adequate water supplies have supported vine health and crop development. Demand is expected to remain strong as retailers transition from imported grapes to domestic supplies. Industry officials say lower freight costs compared with imports from Mexico and South America could support movement and pricing. Growers are also monitoring weather forecasts later in the season, including the potential effects of El Niño conditions on production in California and competing grape-producing regions. 

Maritime Fuel Policy Push Could Open New Market for U.S. Ethanol

Ethanol industry groups are intensifying efforts to ensure renewable fuels are included in emerging international maritime fuel policies, arguing the shipping sector could become a major new source of demand for U.S. agriculture. The push comes as the International Maritime Organization and national governments consider policies aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions from ocean-going vessels. Ethanol advocates say the fuel offers a lower-carbon alternative that can be used in many methanol-capable ship engines without significant modifications. The Renewable Fuels Association and other members of the American Biofuels Maritime Initiative are urging policymakers to adopt technology-neutral regulations that allow ethanol to compete alongside other alternative fuels. According to the coalition, expanding marine fuel markets could support U.S. corn growers and rural economies. Interest in ethanol as a marine fuel is growing among global shipping companies. Reuters reported that firms including Maersk and Vale have conducted trials or commissioned vessels capable of operating on ethanol-based fuels as they seek to reduce emissions and diversify fuel supplies. Industry estimates cited by the Renewable Fuels Association suggest capturing just 5% of the global marine fuel market could increase annual ethanol demand by 4 billion to 5 billion gallons and boost corn demand by roughly 1.5 billion bushels. Supporters say policy decisions made over the next several years will help determine whether ethanol becomes a significant player in the maritime fuel market.

Canadian Growers Back National Food Security Strategy

Canadian fruit and vegetable growers and greenhouse producers are welcoming the federal government's new National Food Security Strategy, saying the plan recognizes the importance of domestic food production and supply chain resilience. The strategy, unveiled Thursday by Prime Minister Mark Carney, includes billions of dollars in investments aimed at expanding food processing capacity, strengthening distribution infrastructure, supporting greenhouse production and improving competition in the grocery sector. The government says the initiative is designed to improve food affordability while reducing reliance on imports and strengthening Canada's food system. The Fruit and Vegetable Growers of Canada said the strategy reflects long-standing calls to prioritize domestic food production. The group cited challenges including rising input costs, labor shortages, extreme weather and market uncertainty. The Greenhouse Produce Alliance of Canada also praised the plan, noting greenhouse operations can provide year-round supplies of fresh produce. Industry groups said they support proposed regulatory reforms intended to speed approvals for crop inputs and reduce administrative barriers. They also welcomed measures aimed at increasing competition among grocery retailers and expanding access to Canadian-grown products. The strategy's success, grower groups said, will depend on how effectively the government implements the announced initiatives and whether they result in measurable improvements for producers and consumers.

Monday Watch List

Markets

On Monday, USDA will release the weekly Export Inspections report at 10 a.m. CDT. At 2 p.m. CDT, USDA will release monthly commodity outlooks for oilseeds, wheat, and feed, with follow-up details from last week's WASDE. Finally, at 3 p.m. CDT USDA will release the weekly Crop Progress report, updating traders on conditions around the U.S.

Weather

A front from a weekend storm is stalling near the Gulf Coast, producing some areas of heavy rainfall early Monday. This will be a common occurrence throughout the week, especially with a tropical low-pressure center moving along the front later this week. In addition, a small disturbance will bring showers to the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest.

Trump Questions Future of USMCA as Farm Groups Push for Renewal

President Donald Trump says he is not looking to renew the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, raising concerns among farm groups that rely on trade with the nation’s two largest agricultural export markets. Bloomberg said Trump criticized trade deficits with Canada and Mexico and suggested the U.S. does not need goods from either country. Under the agreement, the three nations must approve a renewal by July 1 or begin a lengthy review process that could eventually lead to changes or withdrawal. Agriculture organizations are urging the administration to keep the pact in place. More than 150 farm groups have signed a letter supporting renewal, citing the economic benefits of North American trade. During a House Agriculture Committee hearing, Minnesota farmer Jamie Beyer of the American Soybean Association warned that failing to renew the agreement would be “catastrophic.” The USMCA has helped support nearly $1.6 trillion in annual North American trade.

Beef Checkoff Releases New Screwworm Resources for Cattle Producers

As concerns grow over the spread of New World Screwworm, the beef checkoff has launched new resources to help cattle producers identify, prevent, and respond to potential infestations. The National Cattlemen's Beef Association's checkoff-funded Issues Management and Public Relations team has developed educational materials that producers can download free of charge. Resources include identification guides, treatment information, and on-farm posters available in both English and Spanish. Producers can access the materials at BQA.org/Screwworm/Producer. New World Screwworm is a destructive pest whose larvae feed on the living tissue of animals. Infestations begin when adult flies lay eggs in open wounds, potentially causing severe health problems in cattle and other livestock. Industry officials stress that screwworm is not a food safety concern and cannot be transmitted through beef or other food products. Producers are encouraged to familiarize themselves with the new resources and monitor livestock closely for signs of infestation.

Dairy Farmers Take Priorities to Capitol Hill During NMPF Fly-In

More than 80 dairy farmers and cooperative leaders traveled to Washington, D.C., this week to press lawmakers on issues ranging from agricultural labor and trade to animal health and milk labeling. The annual fly-in, organized by the National Milk Producers Federation's Young Cooperators program, included visits to roughly 100 congressional offices. Participants urged Congress to pass a new farm bill in 2026, maintain access to all types of milk in school meal programs, and approve the DAIRY PRIDE Act, which would establish stricter standards for labeling dairy alternatives. Dairy producers also called on lawmakers to support stronger dairy provisions as the United States, Mexico, and Canada prepare to review the USMCA trade agreement. Concerns over the recent detection of the New World Screwworm in the United States were also part of discussions on Capitol Hill. The fly-in followed NMPF's June board meeting, where members received updates on agricultural trade and the farm economy. 

Ethanol Production Holds Steady as Inventories Decline

U.S. ethanol production was unchanged last week while fuel inventories fell to their lowest level in nearly three weeks, according to new data from the Energy Information Administration. Ethanol plants produced an average of 1.108 million barrels per day during the week ending June 5, matching the previous week's output. Production in the Midwest, the nation's largest ethanol-producing region, edged higher to 1.049 million barrels per day from 1.047 million the week before, reaching its highest level in three weeks. Production declined along the Gulf Coast, falling to 25,000 barrels per day from 28,000 barrels a week earlier. Output on the East Coast increased to 13,000 barrels per day, while production in the Rocky Mountain and West Coast regions was unchanged. Meanwhile, ethanol inventories dropped to 24.45 million barrels, down from 24.61 million the previous week. The decline pushed stockpiles to their lowest level since mid-May, a sign of continued demand for the corn-based renewable fuel.

USDA Releases June WASDE Report

The USDA’s World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates Report showed little change from the previous month. The 2026-2027 U.S. corn outlook is virtually unchanged relative to last month. Fractionally higher beginning and ending stocks reflect mostly offsetting trade and domestic use changes from the previous year, with adjustments to imports, corn used for ethanol, and exports. The season-average farm price is unchanged at $4.40 per bushel. Soybean supply, use, and price projections are unchanged this month. The U.S. season-average soybean price is forecast at $11.40 per bushel. The U.S. wheat outlook projects smaller supplies and, with no other changes to the balance sheet, lower ending stocks. Supplies are reduced on decreased output as all-wheat production is projected at 1.543 billion bushels. The all-wheat yield dropped a half-bushel lower to 47 bushels. The season-average farm price dropped 50 cents to an even $6 a bushel. 

Wisconsin Dairy Farmers Challenge Federal Checkoff Program in Lawsuit

Three Wisconsin dairy farmers are challenging the federal dairy checkoff program, arguing it forces producers to fund promotional and research efforts such as the “Got Milk?” campaign. The Wisconsin Institute for Law & Liberty filed the lawsuit against Ag Secretary Brooke Rollins and the National Dairy Promotion and Research Board. The suit targets the long-running program that collects mandatory assessments from milk producers to finance national and state-level marketing, research, and promotion initiatives, including groups like Dairy Farmers of Wisconsin. Similar checkoff programs exist across agriculture, including beef, pork, eggs, and potatoes. The complaint describes the program as a “burdensome federal program” that harms small farms, and it criticizes checkoff-funded efforts like the Innovation Center for Dairy Research, which emphasizes environmental stewardship and sustainability. Wisconsin Public Radio says the suit was filed in federal court, and the case seeks to halt or restructure how dairy checkoff funds are collected and used nationwide.

Friday Watch List

Markets

On Friday, USDA will release a series of follow-ups to Thursday's WASDE, such as updating the wheat and feed grain datasets at 1 p.m. CDT. At 2:30 p.m. CDT, CFTC will close the week with the Commitments of Traders report, updating positions as of Tuesday, June 9.

Weather

A cold front is pushing into the Southern Plains, Southeast, and East on Friday. Some thunderstorms are currently found near the front, but additional development is likely throughout the day. The most intense storms appear most likely on the East Coast where the heat and humidity could fuel severe wind gusts. Cooler temperatures are settling in behind the front.

Urea Prices Back to Pre-Iran War Levels

Fertilizer prices have retreated sharply in recent weeks as concerns over prolonged supply disruptions tied to tensions in the Middle East have eased. That’s offering potential relief for crop producers heading into the next growing season. Bloomberg said that urea prices in New Orleans fell to $453.50 per short ton last week, down 36 percent from mid-April and the lowest level since early February. The decline follows fears that conflict involving Iran could disrupt shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for global fertilizer exports. The drop in fertilizer costs has also pressured grain markets, with prices for corn, wheat, and other commodities moving lower as input cost concerns subside. Nearly half of the world's urea exports originate from countries affected by the conflict, making fertilizer markets highly sensitive to geopolitical developments. Analysts caution that fertilizer markets remain vulnerable to renewed geopolitical tensions and fluctuations in global energy prices.

Ag Groups Urge USDA to Beef Up Its Staff

Over 120 agricultural and conservation organizations are urging Congress to address staffing shortages at local USDA offices, warning that reduced personnel levels are making it harder for farmers and ranchers to access critical programs and services. In a letter to Senate agriculture appropriations leaders, 123 groups called for adequate fiscal year 2027 funding for the Natural Resources Conservation Service and Farm Service Agency. Agri-Pulse said the coalition also supports House-passed language that would prevent the permanent relocation of county-based employees if doing so would leave an office with two or fewer staff members. The organizations cited USDA data showing more than 20,000 employees left the department between January and June 2025, including 22 percent of NRCS staff and 24 percent of FSA employees. "For many American agriculture operations, timely access to USDA staff and resources can directly impact whether an operation remains financially viable during periods of economic stress or weather-related losses," the groups wrote.

Ethanol and DDGS Exports Stay Strong Despite April Pullback

U.S. ethanol exports slowed in April after six consecutive months above 200 million gallons, although shipments remain ahead of last year's pace and continue to support corn demand. According to new trade data, U.S. ethanol exports totaled 171.6 million gallons in April. Canada remained the top destination, importing 64.8 million gallons despite a 14 percent decline from March. Exports to the European Union fell 42 percent to a nine-month low, while shipments to South Korea jumped 57 percent to their highest level in four years. Year-to-date ethanol exports reached 811.3 million gallons through April, up 13 percent from the same period in 2025. Exports of dried distillers grains, a key ethanol coproduct used in livestock feed, also remained strong. April DDGS exports totaled 1.02 million metric tons, led by Mexico, Indonesia, South Korea, Vietnam, and Turkey. For the first four months of 2026, DDGS exports reached 3.98 million metric tons, an increase of 12% compared to 2025.

Groups Tell House Ag Committee that USMCA is Critical for U.S. Farmers

Farm and food industry leaders told members of the House Agriculture Committee that renewing the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement is critical to the future of American agriculture and rural communities. During a hearing on the future of USMCA, representatives from commodity groups, dairy organizations, and the meat industry highlighted the agreement's importance for agricultural exports and market stability. The agreement is scheduled for a formal review beginning July 1. “USMCA has been the gold standard for agricultural trade agreements, providing the certainty farmers and ranchers need to plan, invest, and stay competitive,” said Minnesota soybean farmer Jamie Beyer of the American Soybean Association. Industry groups noted that Canada and Mexico remain two of the most important export markets for U.S. agriculture. Dairy Farmers of America said more than 40 percent of U.S. dairy exports were shipped to the two countries last year. A renewal would avoid uncertainty that could impact farm income and long-term investment decisions.

Funding Available for Programs to Open Global Markets

The USDA is accepting applications for its fiscal year 2027 agricultural trade promotion programs, providing producers and commodity groups with opportunities to expand export markets and boost demand for U.S. products overseas. Applications for the Market Access Program and Foreign Market Development Program will be accepted through Aug. 14. The programs operate as public-private partnerships that help agricultural organizations promote U.S. products internationally and address trade barriers in foreign markets. “At USDA, Farmers First means giving our hardworking farmers, ranchers, and producers the tools they need to feed the world,” said Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins. “USDA is using every tool it has to cut through the heavy red tape in overseas markets.” According to the USDA, the trade promotion programs have generated significant returns for U.S. agriculture. The department estimates that every taxpayer dollar invested in the initiatives has returned $24.50 in export value since 1977.

Soybean Export Inspections Drop Sharply

U.S. corn export inspections continued to outpace last year's strong pace during the latest reporting week, while wheat and soybean inspections declined from the previous week. USDA reported corn inspections totaled 1.9 million metric tons in the week ending June 4, up from 1.75 million the previous week and ahead of the 1.72 million metric tons inspected during the same week last year. Wheat inspections were reported at 319,730 metric tons, down from 402,346 tons the previous week but slightly above year-ago levels. Soybean inspections fell to 398,186 metric tons from 505,109 tons the week before and remained well below last year's pace. For the marketing year, corn export inspections have reached 63.9 million metric tons, significantly ahead of the 50.4 million metric tons inspected during the same period last year. Soybean inspections since September total 36 million metric tons, trailing last year's 45.2 million metric tons, while wheat inspections are slightly ahead of year-ago levels.

Thursday Watch List

Markets

On Thursday, USDA will release the weekly Export Sales report at 7:30 a.m. CDT. At 11 a.m. CDT, USDA will release the June World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) and Crop Production reports, which will give traders an updated look into USDA forecasts for old and new crop balance sheets in the U.S. and around the globe.

Weather

A system that moved into the Central Plains Wednesday night will move through the Midwest on Thursday. It is already bringing a batch of strong-to-severe thunderstorms from eastern Nebraska into Iowa early Thursday morning. That will spread northeast throughout the day and could remain severe. Additional strong-to-severe thunderstorms will form along this system's cold front as it pushes down into Oklahoma and up through the Great Lakes throughout the day, but especially Thursday afternoon and evening.

Three More NWS Cases, Including the First Outside of Texas

Federal animal health officials have confirmed three additional cases of New World Screwworm in the United States, bringing the total number of detections to five and increasing concerns about the parasite's potential spread. The U.S. Department of Agriculture reported new cases in a calf in La Salle County, Texas, a goat in Gillespie County, Texas, and a dog in Lea County, New Mexico. The detections follow two previously confirmed cases in calves in Texas, marking the first U.S. cattle cases in roughly 50 years. The latest findings expand the geographic footprint of the outbreak beyond South Texas and into a neighboring state. USDA officials said the New Mexico case is believed to be isolated, but additional animals at the dog's home are being inspected while investigators work to determine the animal's recent travel history. New World Screwworm larvae feed on living tissue and pose a significant threat to livestock production. 

Grain and Feeds Association Applauds Ag Appropriations Passage

The National Grain and Feed Association is praising the House passage of the fiscal year 2027 agriculture appropriations bill, saying the legislation includes several provisions aimed at strengthening the nation's grain handling and export system. Among the measures supported by NGFA is a directive for the USDA to develop a contingency plan to maintain official grain inspection and weighing services during future disruptions. The bill also encourages improved coordination between USDA's Federal Grain Inspection Service and the Food and Drug Administration to speed approvals for grain reconditioning plans at export facilities when grain lots require corrective action. USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service will also maintain key reports and surveys and provide advance notice before making significant changes to data collection programs. "House's passage of the agriculture appropriations bill marks an important step forward for America's grain and feed industry," said NGFA President and CEO Mike Seyfert. The bill now moves to the Senate.

USMCA Study Shows Agreement Lowers Grocery Costs

A new study from Purdue University suggests the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement has helped keep food costs lower for American consumers while creating additional market opportunities for U.S. agriculture. Released by the Corn Refiners Association and the Agriculture Coalition for USMCA, the study estimates North American trade agreements save U.S. households about $700 annually on food purchases, equal to roughly seven percent of total household food spending. Researchers found that every one percent reduction in food tariffs corresponded with an average 2.8 percent decline in consumer food prices over a ten-year period. The report also warns that without USMCA, food tariffs could increase by an average of 7.4 percent, potentially erasing those savings within a decade. "Food affordability remains one of the top concerns for American families, and this study makes clear that USMCA is part of the solution," said Corn Refiners Association President and CEO John Bode.

Work Underway on a Year-Round E15 Bill in the Senate

Efforts to secure year-round nationwide sales of E15 ethanol fuel remain active in the U.S. Senate, offering renewed hope for corn growers seeking expanded demand for their crop. Senate Majority Leader John Thune of South Dakota said that lawmakers are working on new legislation to allow permanent year-round sales of E15, though details of the proposal are still being negotiated. "We are trying to get an E15 bill, and what it looks exactly like is in the process of being determined," Thune told Agri-Pulse. The legislation faces several hurdles. Senate Agriculture Committee Chairman John Boozman (BOZE-man) said E15 falls under the jurisdiction of the Senate Environment Committee and is not expected to be included in upcoming farm bill proposals. Debate also continues over whether an E15 bill should include changes to the Renewable Fuel Standard. While some groups favor a stand-alone E15 measure, others support provisions that would limit biofuel blending exemptions for small refineries.

Produce Industry Hits Washington, D.C.

Fresh produce industry leaders are in Washington, D.C., this week to advocate for policy priorities affecting growers, consumers, and agricultural businesses nationwide. The International Fresh Produce Association's Washington Conference, held June 8-10, brought together hundreds of produce growers, industry representatives, and corporate executives to meet with lawmakers and administration officials on key issues facing the sector. Among the group's top priorities was securing strong funding for federal nutrition programs, including SNAP and WIC, while expanding incentives that encourage fruit and vegetable purchases. Industry leaders also emphasized the need for workforce and immigration reforms to address ongoing labor shortages that can leave crops unharvested and increase food costs. Trade and food safety issues were also a major focus of the conference. Attendees discussed international market access, supply chain challenges, and emerging food safety requirements. Participants also received updates from Food and Drug Administration officials on new human food safety initiatives.

FARM Biosecurity Celebrates Updated Secure Milk Supply Plan

The National Dairy Farmers Assuring Responsible Management Program has released an updated Secure Milk Supply Plan designed to help dairy producers maintain operations during animal disease outbreaks while protecting herd health and the food supply. The revised plan expands beyond foot-and-mouth disease to address other contagious livestock diseases, including H5N1 avian influenza. Updates also include new resources for dairy farmers, cooperatives, and processors, along with revised movement permit guidance covering raw milk intended for animal feed. “It was a great opportunity to collaborate with other farmers, processors, veterinarians, and state and federal officials to update the SMS Plan for our evolving dairy industry,” said Minnesota dairy farmer Tom Walsh. “We put together many commonsense resources to protect our animals and consumers while still milking healthy cows and moving healthy animals.” Industry leaders say the changes reflect evolving disease threats and will help dairy farms prepare for future animal health challenges.

Wednesday Watch List

Markets

On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the May Consumer Price Index report at 7:30 a.m. CDT, giving traders and investors an updated look at inflation in the U.S. economy. At 9:30 a.m. CDT, the Energy Information Administration will release the weekly Petroleum Status report, including last week's ethanol production.

Weather

A system is pushing into the Midwest on Wednesday. Though some scattered showers and thunderstorms will occur during the morning, strong-to-severe thunderstorms are expected to develop Wednesday afternoon and evening. All hazards are on the table including a few long-track tornadoes and hurricane-force wind gusts. Additional thunderstorms will develop across the Plains, with a new system moving into the Central Plains Wednesday night.

Canada Prohibits Texas Livestock Imports

Canada has temporarily suspended livestock imports from Texas following the recent detection of New World screwworm in South Texas calves, raising new concerns for cattle producers and animal health officials. The Canadian Food Inspection Agency announced on June 5 that it will halt imports of livestock, including horses, that originated in or were present in Texas within 21 days of entry into Canada. The agency noted that the New World screwworm is not present in Canada and said it will continue monitoring the situation alongside U.S. officials. USA Today said the move follows confirmation by the USDA of two cases in South Texas. The first involved a three-week-old calf found with screwworm larvae in its umbilical area. A second case was confirmed on June 5 in a one-month-old calf located about six miles away. The flesh-eating parasite, spread by screwworm flies, poses a significant threat to livestock health and Texas' $15.5 billion cattle industry if it’s not contained.